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![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… NoPolitics 178.91 shares | 23.4¢ / 25.9¢ | $5.57 (11.9%) | $44.8 · 1 | $5.99 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:58 PM | |
![]() Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? NoPolitics 12.84 shares | 48.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$3.59 (-58.3%) | $6.03 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:56 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… YesPolitics 151.57 shares | 20.2¢ / 27.0¢ | $11.8 (32.7%) | $34.6 · 1 | $7.15 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:55 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? YesPolitics 73.58 shares | 68.0¢ / 25.0¢ | -$31.6 (-63.2%) | $50 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:54 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 31.06 shares | 21.0¢ / 25.0¢ | $1.24 (19.0%) | $6.52 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:53 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? YesPolitics 321.89 shares | 52.0¢ / 0.9¢ | -$164 (-98.3%) | $167 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:40 PM | |
![]() Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in… YesPolitics 102.24 shares | 81.8¢ / 73.9¢ | -$8.08 (-9.7%) | $83.6 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:36 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? YesPolitics 577.39 shares | 17.0¢ / 21.0¢ | $23.1 (23.5%) | $98.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:14 PM | |
![]() Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? YesPolitics 262.97 shares | 19.0¢ / 4.0¢ | -$43.7 (-48.1%) | $90.9 · 3 | $36.6 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:07 PM | |
![]() Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? NoPolitics 348.38 shares | 98.6¢ / 98.9¢ | $1.24 (0.4%) | $343 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:17 PM | |
![]() Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? NoPolitics 229.36 shares | 62.1¢ / 66.1¢ | $9.53 (6.1%) | $156 · 3 | $14.9 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:27 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 795.52 shares | 27.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$39.8 (-18.5%) | $215 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:15 PM | |
![]() China x Philippines military clash before 2027? YesPolitics 25.80 shares | 28.0¢ / 26.0¢ | -$0.52 (-7.1%) | $7.22 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:56 AM | |
![]() US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? YesPolitics 11.52 shares | 97.7¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.25 (2.3%) | $11.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:19 AM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? YesPolitics 642.16 shares | 25.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$93.8 (-39.4%) | $238 · 1 | $73.7 · 29 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:52 AM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? YesPolitics 139.76 shares | 37.5¢ / 30.0¢ | -$9.18 (-16.3%) | $56.2 · 4 | $5.1 · 27 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:52 AM | |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? YesPolitics 257.92 shares | 95.3¢ / 99.9¢ | $12 (4.9%) | $246 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:17 AM | |
![]() Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? NoPolitics 88.80 shares | 96.2¢ / 96.2¢ | $0.03 (0.0%) | $91 · 1 | $5.81 · 9 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:00 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? YesPolitics 76.98 shares | 9.0¢ / 2.8¢ | -$4.83 (-65.0%) | $7.43 · 8 | $0.45 · 17 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 1:53 PM | |
![]() Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary elect… YesPolitics 97.57 shares | 86.6¢ / 79.6¢ | -$6.85 (-8.1%) | $84.2 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 5:35 PM | |
![]() U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? YesPolitics 101.61 shares | 42.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$20.3 (-47.6%) | $42.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 5:23 AM | |
![]() Kash Patel out by December 31? YesPolitics 2.01 shares | 49.0¢ / 30.1¢ | -$0.38 (-38.5%) | $0.98 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 3:37 AM | |
![]() Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? YesPolitics 2.27 shares | 16.0¢ / 6.0¢ | $0.53 (9.2%) | $5.78 · 1 | $6.18 · 4 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 11:40 AM | |
![]() Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? YesPolitics 4.55 shares | 34.0¢ / 90.7¢ | $2.58 (166.8%) | $1.55 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 24, 2026 9:31 PM | |
![]() Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026… YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.51 shares | 72.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.93 (31.8%) | $5.98 · 1 | $7.47 · 29 | $0 | Jun 4, 2026 12:37 AM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 71.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.58K (37.1%) | $6.97K · 69 | $9.55K · 67 | $0 | Mar 5, 2026 9:07 AM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 63.8¢ / 75.0¢ | $1.21K (26.6%) | $4.53K · 51 | $5.73K · 671 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:49 PM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 27.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.18K (170.1%) | $693 · 19 | $408 · 41 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 7:47 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 47.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $548 (55.4%) | $988 · 30 | $1.5K · 112 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:35 AM | |
38.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $463 (138.5%) | $334 · 13 | $418 · 4 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 2:39 AM | ||
![]() Netanyahu out by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 95.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $445 (2.4%) | $18.5K · 88 | $19K · 63 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:14 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 34.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $358 (31.6%) | $1.13K · 10 | $702 · 65 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 7:47 AM | |
![]() Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? WonNoMentions | 18.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $349 (436.8%) | $79.6 · 9 | $0 | $0 | May 23, 2026 12:44 AM | |
![]() Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? WonNoPolitics | 91.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $290 (9.1%) | $3.17K · 11 | $0 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 9:54 AM | |
![]() Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? WonYesPolitics | 92.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $266 (8.2%) | $3.24K · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jul 9, 2026 2:24 AM | |
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? WonYesMentions | 88.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $209 (13.2%) | $1.59K · 5 | $25.7 · 24 | $0 | Jul 2, 2026 12:39 AM | |
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 95.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $177 (3.5%) | $5.02K · 45 | $140 · 21 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 7:55 AM | |
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? WonYesPolitics | 86.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $175 (9.8%) | $1.79K · 30 | $1.97K · 7 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 7:56 AM | |
![]() Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics | 93.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $157 (7.0%) | $2.26K · 39 | $0 | $0 | Mar 5, 2026 9:06 AM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 85.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $136 (5.9%) | $2.29K · 42 | $2.43K · 36 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | |
97.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $134 (2.0%) | $6.57K · 19 | $4.45K · 3 | $0 | Apr 17, 2026 9:37 AM | ||
50.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $132 (99.7%) | $132 · 20 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 11:18 PM | ||
![]() Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? WonYesPolitics | 64.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $120 (54.9%) | $219 · 4 | $0.01 · 1 | $0 | Jul 9, 2026 2:25 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 69.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $104 (15.1%) | $689 · 6 | $793 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:16 AM | |
95.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $100 (2.9%) | $3.41K · 3 | $2.36K · 35 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM | ||
23.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $97.7 (334.8%) | $28.8 · 2 | $127 · 1 | $0 | May 23, 2026 12:45 AM | ||
70.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $96.3 (37.3%) | $258 · 4 | $355 · 2 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 11:46 PM | ||
72.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $92.2 (38.8%) | $238 · 4 | $259 · 1 | $0 | Apr 20, 2026 8:33 AM | ||
![]() US forces enter Iran by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 84.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $91.2 (18.5%) | $494 · 4 | $480 · 11 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 6:38 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iraq by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 20.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $88 (127.7%) | $68.9 · 5 | $101 · 2 | $0 | Mar 6, 2026 8:15 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
302
Won
179
Lost
85
Win Rate
67.8%
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$61.2
Avg Loss
-$182
Total Wins
$10.9K
Total Losses
-$15.5K
Avg. Hold Time
Worst Loss
-$3.53K
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield