
Volume
$26M
Txns
92,919
Traders
8,391
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 95%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x2e6f...0f6efe | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 3mo | 0x3ce0...4a59d5 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 3mo | queteimporta1 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 0x5b5625E54b35321Ee9Ea21060c1A5Bcc08039100-1774573964391 | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 3mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50,000.00 | $50K | |
| 3mo | ScottyNooo | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 3mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 3mo | letradooor | Yes / 99.9¢ | -59.68 | $59.6 | |
| 3mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +59.68 | $59.6 | |
| 3mo | lardechois | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 3mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 3mo | letradooor | Yes / 99.9¢ | +59.68 | $59.6 | |
| 3mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +292.17 | $292 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -567.00 | $566 | |
| 3mo | lardechois | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 3mo | beshbarma | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 3mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 3mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.01 | $2.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xc195...ff7fbb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.01 | $2.01 | |
| 3mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 3mo | beshbarma | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | beshbarma | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 |
1–25