
Volume
$800K
Txns
11,376
Traders
2,070
Fees
$326
Liquidity
$21,084
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.44Bvolume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 66%$653Mvolume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84%$38.3Mvolume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 56%$54.9Mvolume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 77%$916Mvolume
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98%$28.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | FR0STM0N4RCH | No / 84.5¢ | -6.04 | $5.1 | |
| 3h | PaddyAlpha | No / 85.0¢ | +6.04 | $5.13 | |
| 17h | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.55 | $0.72 | |
| 17h | Thingol | Yes / 12.5¢ | -5.55 | $0.7 | |
| 1d | Eccilef | Yes / 12.5¢ | -10.00 | $1.25 | |
| 1d | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 13.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1d | constable-font | Yes / 12.5¢ | -30.00 | $3.76 | |
| 1d | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 13.0¢ | +30.00 | $3.9 | |
| 1d | sonnguyen95 | No / 84.5¢ | -100.00 | $84.5 | |
| 1d | PaddyAlpha | No / 85.0¢ | +100.00 | $85 | |
| 2d | Ondra | Yes / 13.0¢ | +9.96 | $1.29 | |
| 2d | Funfzig | Yes / 12.5¢ | -95.33 | $12 | |
| 2d | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 13.0¢ | +85.37 | $11.1 | |
| 2d | sonnguyen95 | No / 84.5¢ | -100.00 | $84.5 | |
| 2d | PaddyAlpha | No / 85.0¢ | +43.75 | $37.2 | |
| 2d | PaddyAlpha | No / 85.0¢ | +56.25 | $47.8 | |
| 2d | 0xbeff...20da9f | No / 84.5¢ | -5.75 | $4.86 | |
| 2d | PaddyAlpha | No / 85.0¢ | +5.75 | $4.89 | |
| 2d | 0xbeff...20da9f | No / 87.0¢ | +5.76 | $5.04 | |
| 2d | Ondra | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.76 | $0.75 | |
| 3d | HerrieDavis | No / 86.0¢ | -19.25 | $16.6 | |
| 3d | 0x9F6af3d74CE77E955aa11c687B1100adA9593CAf-1740630686290 | Yes / 13.4¢ | -100.00 | $13.4 | |
| 3d | Ondra | Yes / 13.0¢ | +12.28 | $1.6 | |
| 3d | PaddyAlpha | No / 86.0¢ | -68.47 | $58.9 | |
| 3d | PaddyAlpha | No / 85.0¢ | +0.81 | $0.69 |
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