Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
ResolvedVolume
$75M
Txns
327,171
Traders
24,563
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$75M
Txns
327,171
Traders
24,563
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$8.83Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$4.04Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.52Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$4.21Mvolume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Yes 98%$135Kvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.96Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | classified | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | 0x89cd...ce4d7d | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,939.12 | $2.94K | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 2mo | bobe2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +46,760.88 | $46.7K | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +199.02 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | 0x89cd...ce4d7d | Yes / 99.9¢ | +199.02 | $199 | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x3F298A29bC36db5f7963e52c9e9AE532F2c825F5-1769990757257 | No / 0.1¢ | +51,850.00 | $51.9 | |
| 2mo | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +23,740.58 | $23.7K | |
| 2mo | 0x89cd...ce4d7d | Yes / 99.9¢ | +26,861.86 | $26.8K | |
| 2mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,147.56 | $1.15K | |
| 2mo | DirkDiggler67 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,429.39 | $5.42K | |
| 2mo | classified | No / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 2mo | ac009 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 2mo | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14,520.59 | $14.5K | |
| 2mo | hgytrda | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 2mo | zippa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 2mo | DirkDiggler67 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 2mo | DirkDiggler67 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.23 | $1.23 | |
| 2mo | 0xC8fbc8Bcc9Ea86D6909Ee6Bee1238b4707812F4f-1769934060173 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.23 | $1.23 | |
| 2mo | DirkDiggler67 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +44.38 | $44.3 | |
| 2mo | oshqtqb8 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -44.38 | $44.3 | |
| 2mo | zououou | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | classified | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | troim | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 |
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