Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$3M
Txns
52,252
Traders
10,124
Fees
$29
Liquidity
$72,562
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$3M
Txns
52,252
Traders
10,124
Fees
$29
Liquidity
$72,562
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | PMTraderAdamBot | No / 80.0¢ | +11.75 | $9.4 | |
| 1h | Digital-Boy | Yes / 20.0¢ | -25.00 | $5 | |
| 1h | bluemangroup | No / 80.0¢ | -432.00 | $346 | |
| 1h | tiger555 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -395.25 | $79 | |
| 2h | simplystupid188 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +66.92 | $13.4 | |
| 2h | OneLastHurrah | No / 80.0¢ | -6.00 | $4.8 | |
| 2h | ultralisk | Yes / 20.0¢ | +100.00 | $20 | |
| 2h | simplystupid188 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +14.40 | $2.88 | |
| 2h | 0x08445f26Fb3d2B11360ef8083813e9f30666DB2D-1764087853850 | No / 81.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.05 | |
| 2h | PMTraderAdamBot | No / 81.0¢ | -173.66 | $141 | |
| 2h | simplystupid188 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +13.05 | $2.61 | |
| 2h | tiger555 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +395.25 | $79 | |
| 2h | marseille | No / 80.5¢ | +1,243.00 | $1000 | |
| 2h | tiger5510 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +9.82 | $1.86 | |
| 2h | tiger555 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +87.00 | $17.4 | |
| 2h | tiger555 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +371.90 | $70.7 | |
| 2h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -0.31 | $0.06 | |
| 2h | newaccount2135 | No / 80.0¢ | -0.31 | $0.25 | |
| 2h | 0xcE2AD24be5Eb167e041e4c05E3083D955b6f75eb-1781304159025 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +476.19 | $100 | |
| 2h | tiger555 | Yes / 21.0¢ | -373.72 | $78.5 | |
| 2h | tiger5510 | Yes / 21.0¢ | -15.47 | $3.25 | |
| 2h | tiger555 | Yes / 21.0¢ | -87.00 | $18.3 | |
| 4h | ultralisk | Yes / 20.0¢ | +2.00 | $0.4 | |
| 4h | 15billionplus | No / 80.0¢ | -88.00 | $70.4 | |
| 4h | CW1975 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -90.00 | $18 |
1–25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
No 91%$1.08Mvolume
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 78%$552Kvolume
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
No 97%$327Kvolume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 61%$3.88Mvolume
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
No 97%$434Kvolume
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
No 62%$147Kvolume