Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$38M
Txns
215,684
Traders
14,796
Fees
$859
Liquidity
$406,408
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$38M
Txns
215,684
Traders
14,796
Fees
$859
Liquidity
$406,408
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10m | trashpilot | Yes / 18.0¢ | -16.66 | $3 | |
| 10m | ralphknot | Yes / 18.0¢ | +16.66 | $3 | |
| 16m | 0x5d0a...4bb69f | No / 81.2¢ | -17.27 | $14 | |
| 16m | trashpilot | Yes / 18.0¢ | -17.27 | $3.11 | |
| 20m | trashpilot | Yes / 18.0¢ | -40.00 | $7.2 | |
| 20m | KakiBatusik | Yes / 18.0¢ | +40.00 | $7.2 | |
| 24m | Patrickpin | No / 82.0¢ | +219.82 | $180 | |
| 24m | Laurenman | No / 82.0¢ | -3,999.99 | $3.28K | |
| 24m | Charlottecong | No / 82.0¢ | +344.00 | $282 | |
| 24m | trashpilot | Yes / 18.0¢ | -2,880.62 | $519 | |
| 24m | Haradwaith | No / 82.0¢ | +555.55 | $456 | |
| 25m | 0x5d0a...4bb69f | No / 83.0¢ | +8.43 | $7.07 | |
| 25m | ImJustKen | Yes / 17.0¢ | +8.43 | $1.43 | |
| 26m | OkieDokiePeon | No / 82.0¢ | -1,068.54 | $876 | |
| 26m | Patrickpin | No / 82.0¢ | +55.18 | $45.2 | |
| 26m | ytdyds | No / 82.0¢ | +63.00 | $51.7 | |
| 26m | bigticketchicken | Yes / 18.0¢ | -639.99 | $115 | |
| 26m | PMTraderAdamBot | No / 82.0¢ | +11.00 | $9.02 | |
| 26m | CryptoPlaybook | Yes / 18.0¢ | -283.37 | $51 | |
| 26m | Haradwaith | Yes / 18.0¢ | -16.00 | $2.88 | |
| 38m | ImJustKen | Yes / 17.0¢ | +15.62 | $2.66 | |
| 38m | 0x8772...19fdc3 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -15.62 | $2.66 | |
| 41m | ghn9889 | No / 82.0¢ | -1.25 | $1.02 | |
| 41m | CryptoPlaybook | Yes / 18.0¢ | -1.25 | $0.23 | |
| 56m | elithewhiteguy | Yes / 18.0¢ | +29.99 | $5.4 |
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