Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
ResolvedVolume
$156M
Txns
224,001
Traders
22,609
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
Volume
$156M
Txns
224,001
Traders
22,609
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$5.92Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 84%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.98Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 53%$8.21Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | debased | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | hohohohohorghjhgf | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | cokekaiser | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | debased | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 0x1e551feba7D79B2d06508eC4d290e975E5946520-1772297930502 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,190.00 | $1.19 | |
| 3mo | debased | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,190.00 | $1.19K | |
| 3mo | none910 | No / 0.1¢ | +14,997.00 | $15 | |
| 3mo | debased | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14,997.00 | $15K | |
| 3mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,036.11 | $3.03K | |
| 3mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,414.00 | $1.41K | |
| 3mo | none910 | No / 0.1¢ | +15,002.83 | $15 | |
| 3mo | 0x85c9419A5d7767DDe3321a1FfAA4BEc3A4108BeA-1734413804046 | No / 0.1¢ | -4,552.72 | $4.55 | |
| 3mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,000.00 | $5.99K | |
| 3mo | Xeny | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 3mo | xcryptoman | No / 0.1¢ | -19.30 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | davisdanny | No / 0.1¢ | -165.00 | $0.17 | |
| 3mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,963.89 | $2.96K | |
| 3mo | Panteras | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,851.81 | $1.85K | |
| 3mo | Panteras | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,148.19 | $3.15K | |
| 3mo | NIRVANA87 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,851.81 | $6.84K | |
| 3mo | 0x0bFdFFE33f1c24447Ca39D253923d28b4d5eBab7-1768339319426 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 3mo | Jhonnymary | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.57 | $28.5 | |
| 3mo | NIRVANA87 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +28.57 | $28.5 | |
| 3mo | NIRVANA87 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 0x0bFdFFE33f1c24447Ca39D253923d28b4d5eBab7-1768339319426 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25