
Volume
$1M
Txns
18,190
Traders
1,458
Fees
$18
Liquidity
$60,642
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52m | Elias.Thornwell | No / 99.5¢ | +14.28 | $14.2 | |
| 52m | hard | Yes / 0.5¢ | +14.28 | $0.07 | |
| 1h | lixiaohu | No / 99.3¢ | -1,000.00 | $993 | |
| 1h | studmuffin6969 | No / 99.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $993 | |
| 1h | Jimmybear | Yes / 0.6¢ | -100.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1h | lixiaohu | No / 99.4¢ | -100.00 | $99.4 | |
| 1h | Jimmybear | Yes / 0.6¢ | -100.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1h | lixiaohu | No / 99.4¢ | -143.64 | $143 | |
| 1h | dex53 | No / 99.4¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 1h | 0x5533...8251ba | Yes / 0.6¢ | -38.64 | $0.23 | |
| 13h | Bongo972 | No / 99.7¢ | +3.89 | $3.88 | |
| 13h | fiter | Yes / 0.3¢ | +3.89 | $0.01 | |
| 14h | fiter | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 14h | Eia | No / 99.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 17h | hard | Yes / 0.6¢ | -1.60 | $0.01 | |
| 17h | 0x5533...8251ba | Yes / 0.6¢ | -3.48 | $0.02 | |
| 17h | gkanor | No / 99.4¢ | -5.08 | $5.05 | |
| 17h | fiter | Yes / 0.3¢ | +4.60 | $0.01 | |
| 17h | Armadillo984 | No / 99.7¢ | +4.60 | $4.59 | |
| 20h | moonsea | No / 99.6¢ | +82.00 | $81.7 | |
| 20h | mikefang | No / 99.6¢ | +78.00 | $77.7 | |
| 20h | moononsea | No / 99.6¢ | +45.00 | $44.8 | |
| 20h | lixiaohu | No / 99.6¢ | -294.00 | $293 | |
| 20h | undertheseabase | No / 99.6¢ | +89.00 | $88.6 | |
| 21h | triumphe | No / 99.6¢ | +15.00 | $14.9 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 74%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 90%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume