| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 <0.5% No 64.19 net shares | 76.0¢ / 95.9¢ | $0 (26.2%) | Jun 5, 2026 2:38 PM | |
 December 31 No 760.00 net shares | 63.3¢ / 67.0¢ | $25.9 (5.8%) | Jun 5, 2026 1:40 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -639.32 net shares | 54.6¢ / 72.0¢ | $40.2 (31.8%) | Jun 4, 2026 7:32 PM | |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -190.10 net shares | 83.5¢ / 88.0¢ | $0.78 (5.4%) | Jun 4, 2026 6:56 PM | |
 July 31 No 2,475.96 net shares | 77.9¢ / 88.0¢ | $125 (13.0%) | Jun 4, 2026 11:16 AM | |
 December 31 No 4.28 net shares | 45.0¢ / 47.0¢ | $0.04 (4.4%) | Jun 3, 2026 3:53 PM | |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 1,399.98 net shares | 77.6¢ / 81.0¢ | $24 (4.4%) | Jun 2, 2026 5:48 PM | |
 June 30 No 0.00 net shares | 74.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (21.6%) | Jun 2, 2026 8:27 AM | |
 December 31 No 1.76 net shares | 53.2¢ / 83.0¢ | $0.26 (56.1%) | Jun 2, 2026 5:40 AM | |
 Abelardo de la Espriella No 599.95 net shares | 19.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$18 (-31.6%) | Jun 2, 2026 2:26 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 3,066.47 net shares | 19.8¢ / 25.0¢ | $134 (26.5%) | Jun 2, 2026 1:18 AM | |
 Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Yes 600.00 net shares | 45.8¢ / 43.0¢ | -$8.26 (-6.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 10:11 PM | |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No 1,263.54 net shares | 78.0¢ / 85.0¢ | $14.7 (9.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 8:55 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 No -243.30 net shares | 85.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0 (10.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 6:17 PM | |
 Mojtaba Khamenei Yes 889.09 net shares | 64.0¢ / 73.4¢ | $47 (14.7%) | May 31, 2026 2:43 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 429.58 net shares | 62.6¢ / 67.0¢ | $0 (7.0%) | May 31, 2026 12:24 PM | |
 June 30 No 699.48 net shares | 70.0¢ / 92.0¢ | $76.9 (31.4%) | May 28, 2026 12:46 AM | |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? No 698.28 net shares | 61.6¢ / 92.0¢ | $0.01 (49.2%) | May 27, 2026 7:55 PM | |
 No change Yes 162.48 net shares | 63.1¢ / 99.3¢ | $0 (57.3%) | May 27, 2026 5:37 PM | |
 June 30 No -100.00 net shares | 72.4¢ / 89.0¢ | $49.8 (22.9%) | May 27, 2026 4:35 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 799.97 net shares | 81.3¢ / 99.5¢ | $0 (22.5%) | May 27, 2026 12:25 PM | |
 Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? No 800.00 net shares | 71.0¢ / 96.2¢ | $101 (35.5%) | May 26, 2026 10:52 PM | |
 António Guterres out by December 31? No 775.69 net shares | 72.0¢ / 73.0¢ | $3.88 (1.4%) | May 25, 2026 9:32 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 1,795.70 net shares | 48.0¢ / 54.0¢ | $59.6 (12.4%) | May 25, 2026 3:09 PM | |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No 1,002.18 net shares | 9.0¢ / 4.9¢ | -$40.9 (-45.5%) | May 25, 2026 9:39 AM |
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