 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No 1,438.71 net shares | 76.6¢ / 85.0¢ | -$1.1K (-100.0%) | $1.22K 1,438.71 shares | Apr 8, 2026 4:53 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027? No 1,130.91 net shares | 61.9¢ / 57.0¢ | -$700 (-100.0%) | $645 1,130.91 shares | Apr 2, 2026 5:59 AM | |
 June 30 No 1,338.30 net shares | 69.3¢ / 73.0¢ | -$928 (-100.0%) | $634 869.15 shares | Apr 22, 2026 5:49 AM | |
 June 30 No 1,000.00 net shares | 21.0¢ / 41.0¢ | -$50 (-11.9%) | $615 1,500.00 shares | Apr 25, 2026 1:39 PM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 623.68 net shares | 53.1¢ / 71.0¢ | -$129 (-10.9%) | $613 863.00 shares | Apr 17, 2026 3:23 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 1,000.00 net shares | 66.2¢ / 61.0¢ | -$662 (-100.0%) | $610 1,000.00 shares | Apr 4, 2026 3:50 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 4,432.50 net shares | 13.3¢ / 14.0¢ | -$568 (-93.6%) | $597 4,262.81 shares | Apr 27, 2026 4:47 PM | |
 New pandemic in 2026? No 642.98 net shares | 85.9¢ / 90.0¢ | -$552 (-100.0%) | $579 642.98 shares | Jan 21, 2026 6:39 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? No 1,094.00 net shares | 75.6¢ / 98.0¢ | -$754 (-62.3%) | $536 547.00 shares | Apr 13, 2026 5:13 PM | |
 June 30 No 1,077.05 net shares | 65.6¢ / 76.0¢ | -$706 (-100.0%) | $517 679.91 shares | Apr 13, 2026 5:04 PM | |
 April 30 No 510.00 net shares | 80.7¢ / 98.8¢ | -$409 (-71.4%) | $504 510.00 shares | Apr 12, 2026 2:50 PM | |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 1,500.00 net shares | 66.0¢ / 67.0¢ | -$990 (-100.0%) | $503 750.00 shares | Apr 27, 2026 4:17 PM | |
 April 30 No 1,000.00 net shares | 83.0¢ / 98.4¢ | -$710 (-28.5%) | $492 500.00 shares | Apr 24, 2026 4:33 PM | |
June 30, 2026 No 1,199.98 net shares | 59.2¢ / 81.0¢ | -$710 (-100.0%) | $486 599.99 shares | Apr 23, 2026 11:58 PM | |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No 589.11 net shares | 83.5¢ / 82.0¢ | -$480 (-70.1%) | $483 589.11 shares | Mar 16, 2026 2:38 PM | |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 71.1¢ / 80.0¢ | $98 (12.5%) | $440 550.00 shares | Apr 27, 2026 3:45 PM | |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No 870.14 net shares | 34.4¢ / 49.0¢ | -$165 (-22.6%) | $426 870.14 shares | Apr 10, 2026 1:45 PM | |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 786.98 net shares | 68.1¢ / 54.0¢ | -$536 (-100.0%) | $425 786.98 shares | Apr 7, 2026 9:07 PM | |
 June 30 No 500.00 net shares | 72.4¢ / 77.0¢ | -$362 (-100.0%) | $385 500.00 shares | Jan 31, 2026 8:35 PM | |
 May 31 No 1,078.18 net shares | 64.9¢ / 67.0¢ | -$700 (-100.0%) | $361 539.09 shares | Apr 19, 2026 8:52 AM | |
 June 30 No 999.48 net shares | 70.0¢ / 71.0¢ | -$700 (-100.0%) | $355 499.74 shares | Apr 25, 2026 4:58 AM | |
 António Guterres out by December 31? No 873.41 net shares | 72.0¢ / 77.0¢ | -$629 (-100.0%) | $336 436.71 shares | Apr 25, 2026 8:37 AM | |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 816.56 net shares | 48.0¢ / 37.0¢ | -$221 (-18.5%) | $244 658.29 shares | Apr 26, 2026 12:41 AM | |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 814.22 net shares | 59.0¢ / 58.0¢ | -$480 (-100.0%) | $239 411.37 shares | Apr 27, 2026 3:43 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -210.00 net shares | 59.1¢ / 79.0¢ | $391 (22.6%) | $229 290.00 shares | Apr 17, 2026 1:43 PM |
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