
Volume
$441K
Txns
7,224
Traders
823
Fees
$1,741
Liquidity
$37,404
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | PantheraUncia | No / 84.0¢ | +30.00 | $25.2 | |
| 1h | kaixi9899 | No / 83.5¢ | -30.00 | $25 | |
| 2h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 15.0¢ | +100.00 | $15 | |
| 2h | Lazarus69 | No / 85.0¢ | +100.00 | $85.5 | |
| 3h | oskarvdw | Yes / 16.0¢ | +218.75 | $36.2 | |
| 3h | PantheraUncia | No / 84.0¢ | +218.75 | $184 | |
| 3h | PantheraUncia | No / 84.0¢ | +242.38 | $204 | |
| 3h | LordJamesJHD | Yes / 16.0¢ | +242.38 | $40.1 | |
| 5h | ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec91 | Yes / 14.5¢ | -1.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 15.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6h | ScGoldRat | No / 84.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.2 | |
| 6h | OneLastHurrah | No / 85.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.25 | |
| 6h | PantheraUncia | No / 84.0¢ | +1,040.41 | $874 | |
| 6h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 15.0¢ | -197.00 | $29.6 | |
| 6h | Haradwaith | Yes / 16.0¢ | -15.22 | $2.44 | |
| 6h | 0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139 | Yes / 15.8¢ | +1,262.63 | $207 | |
| 6h | 0x4dc2...9b7999 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +31.20 | $4.98 | |
| 6h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 15.0¢ | -31.20 | $4.68 | |
| 8h | kojuhrt56t | Yes / 15.0¢ | +9.80 | $1.52 | |
| 8h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 15.0¢ | -9.80 | $1.47 | |
| 9h | 0x5F3e28FbBbE00F278f89f77e9A10bA6F00a95b56-1757079790766 | No / 84.5¢ | -167.00 | $141 | |
| 9h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 15.0¢ | -162.00 | $24.3 | |
| 9h | ScGoldRat | No / 85.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.25 | |
| 10h | otakakot | Yes / 16.0¢ | +76.75 | $12.7 | |
| 10h | Haradwaith | Yes / 16.0¢ | -76.75 | $12.3 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$0volume
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee…
No 100%$0volume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$0volume