
Volume
$303K
Txns
4,820
Traders
657
Fees
$1,221
Liquidity
$30,879
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22m | spam123 | No / 80.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.1 | |
| 22m | jtradegbr | No / 80.0¢ | -20.00 | $16 | |
| 7h | tronqui | No / 78.3¢ | -9.51 | $7.45 | |
| 7h | koninginhetuniverse | No / 79.0¢ | +9.51 | $7.51 | |
| 8h | cheese-chaser | No / 78.3¢ | -10.74 | $8.41 | |
| 8h | koninginhetuniverse | No / 79.0¢ | +10.74 | $8.48 | |
| 8h | cheese-chaser | No / 80.0¢ | +11.76 | $9.49 | |
| 8h | jtradegbr | No / 80.0¢ | -11.76 | $9.41 | |
| 15h | cheese-chaser | No / 78.3¢ | -8.64 | $6.77 | |
| 15h | koninginhetuniverse | No / 79.0¢ | +8.64 | $6.83 | |
| 15h | cheese-chaser | No / 80.0¢ | +7.20 | $5.81 | |
| 15h | jtradegbr | No / 80.0¢ | -7.20 | $5.76 | |
| 15h | cheese-chaser | No / 80.0¢ | +12.21 | $9.85 | |
| 15h | jtradegbr | No / 80.0¢ | -12.21 | $9.77 | |
| 18h | jtradegbr | No / 80.0¢ | -1.25 | $1 | |
| 18h | 0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368 | No / 80.0¢ | +1.25 | $1.01 | |
| 18h | gorovi | No / 80.0¢ | +125.00 | $101 | |
| 18h | jtradegbr | No / 80.0¢ | -125.00 | $100 | |
| 23h | Suet-Lam | No / 80.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.8 | |
| 23h | metadelta | Yes / 20.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.24 | |
| 23h | Suet-Lam | No / 81.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.9 | |
| 23h | HerrieDavis | No / 81.0¢ | -6.00 | $4.86 | |
| 23h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -10.00 | $2 | |
| 23h | StarMaster | No / 80.0¢ | +150.00 | $120 | |
| 23h | metadelta | Yes / 20.0¢ | +210.00 | $43.3 |
1–25
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 56%$74.2Kvolume
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 85%$2.17Mvolume
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 93%$297Kvolume
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 74%$17.5Kvolume
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Yes 94%$33.2Kvolume
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No 79%$66.7Kvolume