
Volume
$145K
Txns
3,016
Traders
573
Fees
$46
Liquidity
$873
Ends
Jan 10, 2027
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution. If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
1–25
Human moon landing in 2026?
No 97%$391Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95%$851Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 90%$655Kvolume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 80%$315Kvolume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 65%$177Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$335Kvolume