
Volume
$42K
Txns
442
Traders
114
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$14,156
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
No 100%$12Mvolume
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$1.63Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 98%$38.5Mvolume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 88%$15.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$75.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 64%$10.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +20.00 | $9.6 | |
| 1h | xxcrt | Yes / 48.0¢ | -20.00 | $9.6 | |
| 1h | StarMaster | No / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10 | |
| 1h | xxcrt | Yes / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10 | |
| 6h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +29.19 | $14 | |
| 6h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 48.0¢ | -29.19 | $14 | |
| 13h | 0x175c...743ac3 | No / 51.0¢ | -2.17 | $1.11 | |
| 13h | WhoseHouseRamsHouse | No / 51.0¢ | +2.17 | $1.11 | |
| 14h | WhoseHouseRamsHouse | No / 51.0¢ | +10.20 | $5.2 | |
| 14h | Cassandra-Unchained | Yes / 49.0¢ | +10.20 | $5 | |
| 14h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +2,100.00 | $1.01K | |
| 14h | Xendo1 | No / 52.0¢ | +2,100.00 | $1.09K | |
| 16h | 0x9a95...03abeb | Yes / 47.6¢ | -0.04 | $0.02 | |
| 16h | BikesAreTheBikes | Yes / 50.0¢ | -20.00 | $10 | |
| 16h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +0.04 | $0.02 | |
| 16h | WhoseHouseRamsHouse | No / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10 | |
| 16h | Compound-57 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +40.00 | $20 | |
| 22h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +450.00 | $216 | |
| 22h | OMAST | No / 52.0¢ | +450.00 | $234 | |
| 23h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +1,923.08 | $923 | |
| 23h | OMAST | No / 52.0¢ | +1,923.08 | $1000 | |
| 23h | bigceohiko | No / 52.0¢ | +2.25 | $1.17 | |
| 23h | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +2.25 | $1.08 | |
| 1d | ApexBaron | No / 52.0¢ | +19.23 | $10 | |
| 1d | dissidentdad | Yes / 48.0¢ | +19.23 | $9.23 |
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