Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$44K
Txns
880
Traders
211
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$3,893
Volume
$44K
Txns
880
Traders
211
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$3,893
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | 0x43AB6682572796f6f684970eBB6Cf8C14c92A0eF-1761760556265 | No / 66.0¢ | +149.63 | $98.8 | |
| 8h | gorgorbil | Yes / 33.7¢ | +207.59 | $70 | |
| 8h | HerrieDavis | Yes / 33.0¢ | -15.82 | $5.22 | |
| 8h | 0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269 | No / 67.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.7 | |
| 8h | Crayon | No / 67.0¢ | +32.14 | $21.5 | |
| 15h | getfee-s1 | No / 67.0¢ | -17.86 | $12 | |
| 15h | Crayon | No / 67.0¢ | +17.86 | $12 | |
| 15h | getfee-s1 | No / 67.0¢ | +17.86 | $12 | |
| 15h | ToTheMoon0915 | No / 67.0¢ | -17.86 | $12 | |
| 23h | Crayon | No / 67.0¢ | -17.86 | $12 | |
| 23h | ToTheMoon0915 | No / 67.0¢ | +17.86 | $12 | |
| 1d | Davibes | No / 67.0¢ | -17.86 | $12 | |
| 1d | Crayon | No / 67.0¢ | +17.86 | $12 | |
| 2d | NOIZYUV | Yes / 32.0¢ | +165.94 | $53.1 | |
| 2d | Nbest55 | Yes / 32.0¢ | -165.94 | $53.1 | |
| 2d | 0xb2d5557DF3EBEB013Fba586883551f3A371eFf8B-1780027894670 | No / 67.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.35 | |
| 2d | Arashi9527 | No / 67.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.35 | |
| 3d | NOIZYUV | Yes / 34.0¢ | +99.99 | $34 | |
| 3d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 34.0¢ | -3.05 | $1.04 | |
| 3d | Colala | Yes / 34.0¢ | -6.03 | $2.05 | |
| 3d | Haradwaith | Yes / 34.0¢ | -90.91 | $30.9 | |
| 3d | 0xb2d5557DF3EBEB013Fba586883551f3A371eFf8B-1780027894670 | No / 66.0¢ | -2.77 | $1.83 | |
| 3d | Colala | Yes / 34.0¢ | -2.77 | $0.94 | |
| 3d | Colala | Yes / 32.0¢ | +7.12 | $2.28 | |
| 3d | 51dgfd | Yes / 32.0¢ | -7.12 | $2.28 |
1–25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 94%$342Kvolume
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 86%$152Kvolume
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
No 96%$111Kvolume
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 54%$177Kvolume
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
No 96%$40.1Kvolume
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
No 82%$84Kvolume