AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$82K
Txns
1,497
Traders
233
Fees
$151
Liquidity
$5,384
Ends
Volume
$82K
Txns
1,497
Traders
233
Fees
$151
Liquidity
$5,384
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | jjddr | Yes / 25.5¢ | +182.01 | $47.8 | |
| 6h | LuckyPierrot | No / 75.0¢ | +86.19 | $64.6 | |
| 6h | LuckyPierrot | No / 74.0¢ | +95.82 | $70.9 | |
| 7h | LuckyPierrot | No / 75.0¢ | +4.00 | $3 | |
| 7h | macminibot | Yes / 25.0¢ | +4.00 | $1.03 | |
| 7h | LuckyPierrot | No / 75.0¢ | +4.00 | $3 | |
| 7h | xjsljfi | Yes / 25.0¢ | +4.00 | $1.03 | |
| 7h | LuckyPierrot | No / 75.0¢ | +4.00 | $3 | |
| 7h | xjsljfi | Yes / 25.0¢ | +4.00 | $1.03 | |
| 7h | LuckyPierrot | No / 75.0¢ | +1.81 | $1.37 | |
| 7h | TerranSupremacy | No / 75.0¢ | -1.81 | $1.36 | |
| 7h | calm.rabbit | No / 70.0¢ | +18.69 | $13.1 | |
| 7h | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 29.2¢ | +100.00 | $30 | |
| 7h | calm.rabbit | No / 71.0¢ | +81.31 | $57.7 | |
| 7h | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 27.9¢ | +100.00 | $28.7 | |
| 7h | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 72.0¢ | +29.99 | $21.6 | |
| 7h | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 72.0¢ | +20.00 | $14.4 | |
| 7h | calm.rabbit | No / 71.0¢ | +18.69 | $13.3 | |
| 7h | Colala | Yes / 27.0¢ | -31.32 | $8.46 | |
| 8h | offdeveloverlol | No / 72.2¢ | -1.38 | $1 | |
| 8h | Colala | Yes / 27.0¢ | -1.38 | $0.37 | |
| 1d | simplystupid188 | Yes / 27.0¢ | -20.96 | $5.66 | |
| 1d | kir18 | Yes / 27.0¢ | -129.88 | $35.1 | |
| 1d | planktonXD | Yes / 27.0¢ | -46.00 | $12.4 | |
| 1d | jjddr | Yes / 28.2¢ | +355.10 | $103 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$59.9Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$636Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 83%$52.1Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 53%$745Kvolume