| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 December 31 Yes -1.10 net shares | 35.0¢ / 15.0¢ | -$0 (-57.1%) | May 10, 2026 2:21 PM | |
 US bank failure by May 31? Yes 16.67 net shares | 12.5¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0.21 (-20.2%) | May 10, 2026 2:20 PM | |
 Will Trump insult MBS by May 15? Yes 46.51 net shares | 4.5¢ / 0.3¢ | -$0.97 (-93.3%) | May 10, 2026 2:11 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 12.50 net shares | 8.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$0.25 (-25.0%) | Mar 29, 2026 4:24 PM | |
 March 31, 2027 No 0.01 net shares | 88.0¢ / 83.0¢ | -$0 (-5.7%) | Mar 24, 2026 10:06 AM | |
 Donald Trump Yes 111.11 net shares | 1.8¢ / 1.9¢ | $0.06 (5.6%) | Mar 23, 2026 4:08 PM | |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon? Yes 6.67 net shares | 15.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Mar 22, 2026 7:33 PM | |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes 6.09 net shares | 16.4¢ / 10.6¢ | -$0.35 (-35.4%) | Mar 22, 2026 7:20 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 4.00 net shares | 25.0¢ / 23.0¢ | -$0.08 (-8.0%) | Mar 22, 2026 7:17 PM | |
 April 30, 2026 No 0.00 net shares | 16.8¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (494.6%) | Mar 22, 2026 6:43 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 Yes 0.01 net shares | 29.0¢ / 3.3¢ | -$0 (-88.6%) | Mar 19, 2026 2:01 PM | |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? Yes 0.01 net shares | 43.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$0 (-74.4%) | Mar 19, 2026 2:00 PM | |
 December 31 No 1.16 net shares | 86.0¢ / 85.0¢ | -$0.01 (-1.2%) | Mar 13, 2026 6:24 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 0.00 net shares | 3.7¢ / 1.1¢ | -$0 (-70.3%) | Mar 12, 2026 10:47 AM | |
 Viktor Orbán Yes 5.41 net shares | 37.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Mar 12, 2026 7:42 AM | |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes 5.00 net shares | 20.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$0.65 (-65.0%) | Mar 9, 2026 9:25 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 17.68 net shares | 11.3¢ / 7.2¢ | -$0.73 (-36.4%) | Mar 8, 2026 12:38 PM | |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 0.01 net shares | 16.6¢ / 6.4¢ | -$0 (-61.5%) | Mar 8, 2026 12:37 PM | |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes 0.01 net shares | 15.0¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0 (-20.0%) | Mar 8, 2026 12:20 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Yes 4.57 net shares | 21.9¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Mar 8, 2026 10:27 AM | |
 May 15 No 2.56 net shares | 39.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Mar 8, 2026 10:19 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2.94 net shares | 34.0¢ / 27.0¢ | -$0.21 (-20.6%) | Mar 8, 2026 10:16 AM | |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 7.14 net shares | 14.0¢ / 8.9¢ | -$0.36 (-36.4%) | Mar 8, 2026 10:15 AM | |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes 12.50 net shares | 8.0¢ / 1.4¢ | -$0.83 (-82.5%) | Mar 6, 2026 1:20 PM | |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? No 2.56 net shares | 39.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Mar 6, 2026 11:27 AM |
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