
Volume
$667K
Txns
12,340
Traders
1,569
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$29,660
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 82%$30.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.01Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 56%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.99Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 52%$8.22Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h | 73Shellder | Yes / 6.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.2 | |
| 15h | 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.2 | |
| 15h | 0xe948...2321f6 | No / 92.5¢ | -1.36 | $1.26 | |
| 15h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 7.0¢ | -1.36 | $0.1 | |
| 17h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 7.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.35 | |
| 17h | HyperPoor | No / 93.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.65 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 95.0¢ | -52.63 | $50 | |
| 1d | Ddmonstersfa | Yes / 5.0¢ | -52.63 | $2.63 | |
| 1d | BSS37 | Yes / 6.0¢ | -50.55 | $3.03 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -109.87 | $5.49 | |
| 1d | jilm | No / 94.2¢ | -699.97 | $659 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 94.0¢ | +55.55 | $52.2 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.0¢ | -51.00 | $3.06 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.0¢ | -433.00 | $26 | |
| 1d | BSS37 | Yes / 6.0¢ | -4.23 | $0.25 | |
| 1d | iliabouchouev | No / 94.0¢ | -4.23 | $3.98 | |
| 1d | Rickysavage84 | No / 94.0¢ | -1.20 | $1.13 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.0¢ | -1.20 | $0.07 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.0¢ | -5.78 | $0.35 | |
| 1d | 0x8340...1aa3dd | No / 94.0¢ | -5.78 | $5.43 | |
| 2d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.0¢ | -16.67 | $1 | |
| 2d | 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +16.67 | $1 | |
| 2d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 5.0¢ | -20.00 | $1 | |
| 2d | cowcat | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 | |
| 2d | BSS37 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -21.00 | $1.05 |
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