Volume
$599,175
Txns
10,684
Traders
1,025
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$130,185
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
No 100% · $52.6M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No 100% · $47.9M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
No 98% · $17.3M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $29.2M volume
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
No 61% · $2.49M volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
No 99% · $14.1M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +14.29 | $12.7 | ||
| gagoole777 | No / 89.0¢ | -14.29 | $12.7 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.9 | ||
| ma500 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.1 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +183.70 | $163 | ||
| VortexInfernal | No / 89.0¢ | -183.70 | $163 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +12.30 | $10.9 | ||
| insaider-v2 | No / 89.0¢ | -12.30 | $10.9 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +200.00 | $178 | ||
| johnnyA | Yes / 11.0¢ | +200.00 | $22 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +9.09 | $8.09 | ||
| white-whale-83 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +9.09 | $1 | ||
| RememberAmalek | Yes / 10.0¢ | +1.67 | $0.17 | ||
| moment123 | No / 90.0¢ | +1.67 | $1.5 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +44.73 | $39.8 | ||
| 0x86EEC28560Da22CaB276bA9db1CfaF555c05511F-1766856171107 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +44.73 | $4.92 | ||
| RememberAmalek | Yes / 10.0¢ | +2.01 | $0.2 | ||
| CTcar | No / 90.0¢ | +2.01 | $1.81 | ||
| Marco-Rubio | No / 89.0¢ | +9.09 | $8.09 | ||
| white-whale-83 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +9.09 | $1 | ||
| RememberAmalek | Yes / 10.0¢ | +35.55 | $3.56 | ||
| AJSV | No / 90.0¢ | +35.55 | $32 | ||
| risk-manager | Yes / 10.0¢ | -1,931.54 | $193 | ||
| ma99 | Yes / 10.0¢ | -100.00 | $10 | ||
| oblongoryx | Yes / 10.0¢ | -593.94 | $59.4 |
1–25