
Volume
$929K
Txns
19,257
Traders
3,277
Fees
$14
Liquidity
$108,018
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$22.4Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$2.23Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 85%$23.5Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 98%$64.5Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$37.2Mvolume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
No 92%$8.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -1.28 | $1.16 | |
| 1h | tqwf | No / 90.6¢ | +1.28 | $1.16 | |
| 2h | WhoseHouseRamsHouse | No / 90.5¢ | +20.00 | $18.1 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.5¢ | +34.00 | $30.8 | |
| 2h | talldark2 | No / 90.5¢ | -54.00 | $48.9 | |
| 2h | Gert614 | No / 90.5¢ | -12.00 | $10.9 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.5¢ | +12.00 | $10.9 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -11.00 | $9.97 | |
| 2h | TriippyyXO | Yes / 9.4¢ | -11.00 | $1.03 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -1.00 | $0.91 | |
| 2h | lisette337bryden | Yes / 9.4¢ | -1.00 | $0.09 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -1.00 | $0.91 | |
| 2h | lamontmadisyn3529 | Yes / 9.4¢ | -1.00 | $0.09 | |
| 2h | walkerblair7665 | Yes / 9.4¢ | -7.00 | $0.66 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -7.00 | $6.34 | |
| 2h | NateSpencerWx | Yes / 9.4¢ | -7.00 | $0.66 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -7.00 | $6.34 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -4.00 | $3.62 | |
| 2h | Meghan920 | Yes / 9.4¢ | -4.00 | $0.38 | |
| 2h | terrieleonardo7932 | No / 90.4¢ | -3.00 | $2.71 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.4¢ | +3.00 | $2.71 | |
| 2h | TheAikatsuFan | Yes / 9.4¢ | -2.00 | $0.19 | |
| 2h | notworthit | No / 90.6¢ | -2.00 | $1.81 | |
| 3h | Bikesarethebest | No / 90.3¢ | +38.19 | $34.5 | |
| 3h | DaemonX | Yes / 9.6¢ | +83.19 | $8 |
1–25