
Volume
$2,842
Txns
115
Traders
56
Fees
$7
Liquidity
$20,600
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Colala | No / 95.9¢ | +30.00 | $28.8 | |
| 1h | rocky42005 | No / 95.9¢ | +204.00 | $196 | |
| 1h | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 4.3¢ | -55.95 | $2.41 | |
| 1h | ds80f | Yes / 4.1¢ | +289.95 | $12.5 | |
| 1h | Colala | No / 96.7¢ | -15.40 | $14.9 | |
| 1h | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 3.2¢ | +59.00 | $1.89 | |
| 1h | attackrelease | Yes / 3.1¢ | +50.00 | $1.55 | |
| 1h | rocky42005 | No / 96.9¢ | -97.96 | $94.9 | |
| 1h | 0xBac63Bd91e639a3153f87Ccd039F1d49Bb4A1887-1778253501201 | Yes / 3.0¢ | -222.36 | $6.71 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 4.3¢ | -5.10 | $0.22 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 4.3¢ | -5.10 | $0.22 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 4.3¢ | -19.70 | $0.85 | |
| 2h | Colala | No / 95.7¢ | +15.43 | $14.8 | |
| 2h | Zelenearn0 | No / 95.5¢ | -45.33 | $43.3 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 3.2¢ | +24.83 | $0.79 | |
| 2h | TraderProMax | Yes / 3.1¢ | +20.50 | $0.64 | |
| 2h | Zelenearn0 | No / 96.8¢ | +45.33 | $44 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 3.2¢ | +5.17 | $0.17 | |
| 2h | 0x9b5b4fc9fb3fd00e7eA22bdAb17f2Eed4CdEC757-1764951982504 | No / 96.8¢ | +5.17 | $5.01 | |
| 2h | 0xA35DfC3e33b9D34Be452cAA3D86ac9923AB75df9-1772901224648 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +75.43 | $3.02 | |
| 2h | Porx | No / 96.0¢ | +75.43 | $72.5 | |
| 2h | Biver52 | Yes / 4.5¢ | -198.86 | $8.95 | |
| 2h | DonPanic | No / 95.4¢ | +23.51 | $22.4 | |
| 2h | 0xBac63Bd91e639a3153f87Ccd039F1d49Bb4A1887-1778253501201 | Yes / 4.5¢ | +222.37 | $10.4 | |
| 4h | Biver52 | Yes / 4.5¢ | -1.14 | $0.05 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 65% · $16.5M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 82% · $8.64M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 53% · $6.53M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
No 99% · $1.27M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 73% · $10M volume
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
No 99% · $7.07M volume