
Volume
$30K
Txns
617
Traders
152
Fees
$30
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 52%$8.18Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 95%$32Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 70%$2.38Mvolume
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
No 96%$12.3Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$73Mvolume
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54%$383Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | yyyy77777yyyyy777yyy | No / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 1mo | yyyy77777yyyyy777yyy | No / 99.9¢ | +244.14 | $244 | |
| 1mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -204.14 | $204 | |
| 1mo | BlasterButts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | BlasterButts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | BlasterButts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | BlasterButts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | No / 99.5¢ | +90.69 | $90.2 | |
| 1mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.7¢ | +75.22 | $75 | |
| 1mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1mo | Clayton-Fox | Yes / 0.4¢ | +276.21 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | porthos-the-dawg-1 | No / 99.7¢ | +100.30 | $100 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.34 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | porthos-the-dawg-1 | No / 99.9¢ | +45.04 | $45 | |
| 1mo | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -3.70 | $3.7 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.66 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.36 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | +25.02 | $25 | |
| 1mo | zedamanga | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 1mo | Trtr2026 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.28 | $0.01 |
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