
Volume
$28K
Txns
641
Traders
152
Fees
$50
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 98%$3.72Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Yes 50%$120Kvolume
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 97%$1.51Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 80%$5.71Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
No 74%$125Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
No 83%$140Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +3,008.08 | $3.01K | |
| 19d | Glinter | No / 99.9¢ | -8.08 | $8.07 | |
| 19d | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 19d | punja | No / 99.8¢ | -12.01 | $12 | |
| 19d | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.2¢ | -12.01 | $0.02 | |
| 19d | Glinter | No / 99.9¢ | -12.01 | $12 | |
| 19d | punja | No / 99.9¢ | +12.01 | $12 | |
| 20d | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.40 | $0.02 | |
| 20d | ypineault | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.40 | $0.02 | |
| 20d | NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | No / 99.7¢ | +1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 20d | 0x9C8D8eCfeF8d1d54CeD0fe5d1008695f43AFa4D1-1776337398226 | No / 99.7¢ | -1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 20d | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.00 | $0.03 | |
| 20d | j0xnah | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 20d | 0xG843C0fDaAB99F50AA1ec7002eE31cfddd4863 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 20d | 0xE69F17A0756C89f36584B64D0fE6eE59c2f921 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 20d | 0xF45079CdEc119496181b3F8b5c0b10CD029E45 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 20d | 0xK9895C337CD7a93e845970f7B3AF6ea163870 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | j0xnah | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 20d | 0xG843C0fDaAB99F50AA1ec7002eE31cfddd4863 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | 0xJ2850dE39Bf48cE0B6b6B3BdaA951e6887223 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 0.2¢ | -25.97 | $0.05 | |
| 20d | Masonclarke.mj | No / 99.8¢ | -25.97 | $25.9 |
1–25