| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 June 30 No 2.37 net shares | 84.4¢ / 85.2¢ | $0.01 (0.9%) | May 26, 2026 5:42 PM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes 24.10 net shares | 8.3¢ / 9.4¢ | $0.13 (13.3%) | May 25, 2026 9:33 AM | |
 June 30 No 2.63 net shares | 76.0¢ / 80.0¢ | $0.05 (5.3%) | May 23, 2026 6:50 PM | |
 May 31 No 2.14 net shares | 93.5¢ / 93.0¢ | -$0.01 (-0.5%) | May 23, 2026 6:49 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 2.03 net shares | 98.5¢ / 98.9¢ | $0 (0.4%) | May 22, 2026 6:35 PM | |
 December 31 No 6.67 net shares | 30.0¢ / 21.0¢ | -$0.3 (-30.0%) | May 21, 2026 9:22 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 1.08 net shares | 92.8¢ / 93.7¢ | $0.01 (0.9%) | May 13, 2026 8:21 PM | |
 US recession by end of 2026? No 1.39 net shares | 72.0¢ / 79.0¢ | $0.1 (9.7%) | Mar 9, 2026 8:45 PM | |
 December 31 No 1.52 net shares | 66.0¢ / 88.0¢ | $0.33 (33.3%) | Mar 6, 2026 6:56 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 3.70 net shares | 27.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$0.33 (-33.3%) | Mar 5, 2026 6:22 PM | |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 1.12 net shares | 89.2¢ / 93.4¢ | $0.05 (4.7%) | Mar 2, 2026 10:29 PM | |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No 1.10 net shares | 91.0¢ / 97.2¢ | $0.07 (6.8%) | Feb 24, 2026 11:14 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1.14 net shares | 88.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.03 (3.4%) | Feb 12, 2026 9:01 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 4.44 net shares | 45.0¢ / 75.0¢ | $1.33 (66.7%) | Feb 12, 2026 8:37 PM | |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 10.00 net shares | 10.0¢ / 13.5¢ | $0.35 (35.2%) | Feb 10, 2026 9:15 PM | |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes 16.67 net shares | 6.0¢ / 1.8¢ | -$0.7 (-70.0%) | Feb 9, 2026 10:12 PM | |
— / 99.8¢ | $0 | — | ||
 July 31 No | — / 42.0¢ | $0 | — | |
— / 54.0¢ | $0 | — | ||
— / 91.0¢ | $0 | — | ||
 December 31 Yes | — / 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
1–21
