
Volume
$2M
Txns
18,149
Traders
2,750
Fees
$5
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 95%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
No 92%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | psycho786 | No / 99.9¢ | -11.33 | $11.3 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.33 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0x022C64C0C56Ef5789eF985DAE34A4f9A7E934873-1766949908478 | No / 99.9¢ | -474.62 | $474 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -474.62 | $0.47 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4.37 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 447188 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.37 | $4.37 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.30 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0x01D57C33107c858C6e8b7096D67ce93408e1d6d4-1780023918922 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.30 | $3.3 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -93.29 | $0.09 | |
| 2mo | GameBurger | No / 99.9¢ | -93.29 | $93.2 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -303.37 | $0.3 | |
| 2mo | Jbjb1551 | No / 99.9¢ | -303.37 | $303 | |
| 2mo | dhfghfgdhdf5446 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | EDFFGFG | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | VCVGBHG | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | RTHTHH | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | khjhgbff | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -67.40 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | AmegoPasaSegarro | No / 99.9¢ | -67.40 | $67.3 | |
| 2mo | Seymour-Z | No / 99.9¢ | -6.08 | $6.07 |
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