Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$11M
Txns
137,672
Traders
22,855
Fees
$119
Liquidity
$227,363
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$11M
Txns
137,672
Traders
22,855
Fees
$119
Liquidity
$227,363
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4m | cunia | No / 99.4¢ | +25.15 | $25 | |
| 4m | Ezekieldwe | No / 99.4¢ | -25.15 | $25 | |
| 4m | jtyj5 | No / 99.3¢ | +65.00 | $64.5 | |
| 4m | 5556521 | No / 99.3¢ | +101.00 | $100 | |
| 4m | 0x4597...cc1893 | No / 99.3¢ | +8.06 | $8 | |
| 4m | vincent9111 | Yes / 0.7¢ | -185.05 | $1.3 | |
| 4m | lloop8 | No / 99.3¢ | +84.00 | $83.4 | |
| 4m | kuur | No / 99.3¢ | +67.00 | $66.5 | |
| 4m | 0xd58b...c37210 | No / 99.3¢ | +6.74 | $6.69 | |
| 4m | hjpgh | No / 99.3¢ | +43.50 | $43.2 | |
| 4m | ghj1h345 | No / 99.3¢ | +30.00 | $29.8 | |
| 4m | Yishiaide | No / 99.3¢ | +344.00 | $342 | |
| 4m | 0x38df...b2a70a | No / 99.3¢ | +6.08 | $6.04 | |
| 4m | 0x83f2...96c672 | No / 99.3¢ | +5.44 | $5.4 | |
| 4m | suo88ha | No / 99.3¢ | +22.00 | $21.8 | |
| 4m | 0xcd21...c379f8 | No / 99.3¢ | +9.22 | $9.16 | |
| 4m | lokds | No / 99.3¢ | +70.00 | $69.5 | |
| 4m | fhft | No / 99.3¢ | +58.00 | $57.6 | |
| 4m | gd77 | No / 99.3¢ | +80.00 | $79.4 | |
| 4m | 0x4620...12d01e | No / 99.3¢ | +5.09 | $5.05 | |
| 4m | grrrrttt | No / 99.3¢ | +44.00 | $43.7 | |
| 4m | dfter | No / 99.3¢ | +18.70 | $18.6 | |
| 4m | 0x2455...e8372a | No / 99.3¢ | +6.40 | $6.36 | |
| 4m | ikiuiu | No / 99.3¢ | +37.00 | $36.7 | |
| 4m | 277.btc | No / 99.3¢ | +29.00 | $28.8 |
1–25
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No 94%$73.1Mvolume
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