
Volume
$2M
Txns
51,200
Traders
6,607
Fees
$48
Liquidity
$151,447
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m | d144 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -133.92 | $80.4 | |
| 2m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 40.0¢ | -133.92 | $53.6 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.1 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.05 | |
| 1h | xiaohuli12 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -1,781.12 | $1.07K | |
| 1h | simplystupid188 | No / 39.0¢ | -13.30 | $5.19 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.05 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.1 | |
| 1h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 40.0¢ | -1,719.77 | $688 | |
| 1h | simplystupid188 | No / 39.0¢ | -13.05 | $5.09 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.05 | |
| 2h | zero-to-zero | Yes / 61.0¢ | +25.20 | $15.4 | |
| 2h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 61.0¢ | -25.20 | $15.4 | |
| 2h | treypablo8409 | No / 38.0¢ | -8.00 | $3.04 | |
| 2h | zero-to-zero | Yes / 62.0¢ | -8.00 | $4.96 | |
| 2h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | -2.00 | $1.22 | |
| 2h | zero-to-zero | Yes / 62.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.62 | |
| 2h | Phoenix906 | No / 38.7¢ | -3.00 | $1.16 | |
| 2h | 1minute4food | Yes / 60.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.6 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 40.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2h | ktv.02 | Yes / 61.0¢ | -3.00 | $1.83 | |
| 2h | bobbybryon7733 | No / 39.0¢ | -3.00 | $1.17 | |
| 2h | zendayajaida5633 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -3.00 | $1.8 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 40.0¢ | -3.00 | $1.2 | |
| 2h | koralangdon9420 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -3.00 | $1.8 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$72.8Mvolume
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Yes 69%$1.09Mvolume
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 94%$34.3Mvolume
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 94%$308Kvolume
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
No 87%$32.1Kvolume
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
No 91%$1.2Mvolume