| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 May 15 No -0.27 net shares | 74.0¢ / 85.0¢ | $0 (14.9%) | May 6, 2026 5:36 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 36.98 net shares | 34.3¢ / 16.0¢ | -$6.8 (-53.4%) | May 6, 2026 3:10 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 8.22 net shares | 60.2¢ / 43.0¢ | -$1.52 (-28.6%) | May 6, 2026 12:51 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 26.06 net shares | 60.6¢ / 74.0¢ | $3.62 (22.1%) | May 5, 2026 11:56 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 88.91 net shares | 27.2¢ / 17.0¢ | -$4.22 (-37.6%) | May 5, 2026 11:21 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 11.08 net shares | 88.4¢ / 59.0¢ | -$1.62 (-33.2%) | May 5, 2026 10:39 PM | |
May 8 Yes 4.24 net shares | 18.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$0.91 (-66.7%) | May 5, 2026 5:03 PM | |
May 31 Yes 11.79 net shares | 42.0¢ / 35.0¢ | -$0.82 (-16.7%) | May 5, 2026 2:15 PM | |
 25 bps decrease No 118.71 net shares | 94.9¢ / 97.3¢ | $1.4 (2.6%) | May 5, 2026 12:55 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 7.99 net shares | 89.3¢ / 94.2¢ | $0.2 (5.4%) | May 4, 2026 8:07 PM | |
No change Yes 46.09 net shares | 90.8¢ / 96.0¢ | $1.33 (5.7%) | May 4, 2026 12:41 PM | |
May 31 No 6.49 net shares | 82.0¢ / 83.0¢ | $0.03 (1.2%) | May 3, 2026 6:26 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes 70.71 net shares | 14.0¢ / 16.0¢ | $0.71 (14.3%) | May 2, 2026 8:25 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 20.20 net shares | 49.0¢ / 47.0¢ | -$0.2 (-4.1%) | May 2, 2026 8:25 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 Yes 55.00 net shares | 18.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$1.92 (-38.9%) | May 2, 2026 3:31 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -21.29 net shares | 89.6¢ / 95.0¢ | $0.01 (6.0%) | May 2, 2026 2:25 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 0.00 net shares | 35.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (182.2%) | May 1, 2026 10:00 PM | |
May 31 No 0.01 net shares | 60.9¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 1, 2026 7:13 PM | |
June 30 Yes 0.01 net shares | 65.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (53.8%) | May 1, 2026 7:02 PM | |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? Yes -0.03 net shares | 96.7¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (3.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 9:12 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 0.02 net shares | 92.4¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (8.1%) | Apr 30, 2026 8:15 PM | |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 0.00 net shares | 35.5¢ / 25.0¢ | -$0 (-29.5%) | Apr 30, 2026 12:42 PM | |
 No change Yes 19.39 net shares | 96.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (3.7%) | Apr 29, 2026 6:38 PM | |
 June 30 No 0.00 net shares | 97.4¢ / 98.3¢ | $0 (0.9%) | Apr 29, 2026 10:29 AM | |
 April 29 Yes 0.01 net shares | 57.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 8:39 PM |
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