
Volume
$227M
Txns
222,735
Traders
21,293
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 97%$2.68Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 77%$27Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 92%$1.61Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$1.97Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$10.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +36,200.00 | $36.2K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 0x58fe...e8d826 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xB77fC9FbAca7be9ecB997f59679Be490D07A79e9-1775665943343 | No / 0.1¢ | +36,200.00 | $36.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x4234d6329C9Dd3824258855E358A82A5CF92070b-1775532484443 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +114.99 | $115 | |
| 1mo | 0x7c33...33e721 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -114.99 | $115 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14.47 | $14.5 | |
| 1mo | 0x3f90...4fcc98 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -14.47 | $14.5 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 1mo | TIKTOK27 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1mo | 0x8f6fE3CC0A509AB7F8f3dCDAC2ed44eeD635F20A-1774692737320 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,910.00 | $1.91 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,910.00 | $1.91K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15,000.00 | $15K | |
| 1mo | 0xecE299089f53819f9d170147608186C673B7bF50-1775599128454 | No / 0.1¢ | +15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1mo | 0x2Ca6343dB0F4a47823ddF5EEF0783d0F5D53E465-1775693430648 | No / 0.1¢ | +11,440.00 | $11.4 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11,440.00 | $11.4K | |
| 1mo | TwoTierKeir | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12,500.00 | $12.5K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12,500.00 | $12.5K | |
| 1mo | iamvitenko | No / 0.1¢ | +48,250.00 | $48.3 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +48,250.00 | $48.2K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.67 | $22.6 | |
| 1mo | chupaps | Yes / 99.9¢ | -22.67 | $22.6 | |
| 1mo | 0x58fe...e8d826 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25