
Volume
$5M
Txns
88,039
Traders
13,404
Fees
$132
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | SleeperHunter | No / 99.9¢ | -136.00 | $136 | |
| 27d | Warren-Buffett | No / 99.9¢ | +136.00 | $136 | |
| 27d | SleeperHunter | No / 99.9¢ | -50.05 | $50 | |
| 27d | solomillo | No / 99.9¢ | +50.05 | $50 | |
| 27d | lukny1410 | No / 99.8¢ | -555.00 | $554 | |
| 27d | makinta | No / 99.8¢ | +555.00 | $554 | |
| 27d | SleeperHunter | No / 99.9¢ | -11,374.94 | $11.4K | |
| 27d | SleeperHunter | No / 99.9¢ | -100.10 | $100 | |
| 27d | solomillo | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 27d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -17.52 | $0.02 | |
| 27d | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +11,357.42 | $11.3K | |
| 27d | solomillo | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 27d | SleeperHunter | No / 99.9¢ | -100.10 | $100 | |
| 27d | 0xc1d4...9861a7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.93 | $1.93 | |
| 27d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.93 | $0 | |
| 27d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.28 | $0 | |
| 27d | 0xDb4F909F4979DC0206bcF976216C837CdF214ea6-1783087621579 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 27d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.06 | $0 | |
| 27d | anhhtvaxl4wm | No / 98.9¢ | -3.28 | $3.24 | |
| 27d | dex53 | No / 99.9¢ | +503.51 | $503 | |
| 27d | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,984.52 | $3.98 | |
| 27d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +250.25 | $250 | |
| 27d | nojnn | No / 99.9¢ | -5,368.00 | $5.36K | |
| 27d | dex52 | No / 99.9¢ | +503.51 | $503 | |
| 27d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 63%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume