
Volume
$107K
Txns
625
Traders
214
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$33,588
Ends
Jun 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 15, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 98%$26.4Mvolume
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No 96%$5.63Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 97%$9.3Mvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
No 100%$1.34Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 60%$10Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$4.56Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | JewedGambler | Yes / 16.0¢ | +70.00 | $11.2 | |
| 1h | Lavincey | Yes / 16.0¢ | +30.00 | $4.8 | |
| 1h | sergo600 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +27.75 | $4.44 | |
| 1h | trashtier | No / 85.0¢ | -44.11 | $37.5 | |
| 1h | ZalphaAI | No / 84.6¢ | +295.62 | $250 | |
| 1h | mombil | Yes / 15.0¢ | +123.76 | $18.6 | |
| 1h | Arpayon | No / 84.0¢ | +2.38 | $2 | |
| 1h | Valen9 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +2.38 | $0.38 | |
| 1h | Hyjj | No / 82.0¢ | +5.56 | $4.56 | |
| 1h | n1-z | Yes / 18.0¢ | +5.56 | $1 | |
| 1h | vincent0189 | No / 84.0¢ | +1.20 | $1.01 | |
| 1h | Valen9 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +1.20 | $0.19 | |
| 1h | Warren-Buffett | Yes / 16.0¢ | +5,000.00 | $800 | |
| 1h | Valen9 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +918.34 | $147 | |
| 1h | 0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442 | No / 84.0¢ | +6,000.00 | $5.04K | |
| 1h | Brokemaker | Yes / 16.0¢ | +81.66 | $13.1 | |
| 2h | GinoLaMenace | No / 83.0¢ | +300.00 | $249 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 83.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $830 | |
| 2h | 0x9d55430dd6651603A5c16DD4E9Ae04ef7Cc8eDDE-1759756671749 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -0.11 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | No / 83.0¢ | -2,036.00 | $1.69K | |
| 2h | stocktraders | Yes / 17.0¢ | -700.00 | $119 | |
| 2h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -35.89 | $6.1 | |
| 2h | ash0x | No / 84.0¢ | +8.33 | $7 | |
| 2h | Brokemaker | Yes / 16.0¢ | +8.33 | $1.33 | |
| 2h | 0x9d55430dd6651603A5c16DD4E9Ae04ef7Cc8eDDE-1759756671749 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -5.88 | $1 |
1–25