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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YesPolitics 3,539.58 shares | 47.3¢ / 58.0¢ | $75.8 (2.7%) | $2.77K · 18 | $796 · 15 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:05 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? YesPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 43.9¢ / 34.0¢ | -$98.9 (-22.5%) | $439 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:04 AM | |
![]() Iran Nuke before 2027? NoPolitics 10,000.15 shares | 89.8¢ / 94.7¢ | $488 (5.4%) | $8.98K · 29 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:01 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 2,698.29 shares | 58.5¢ / 55.0¢ | -$95.3 (-6.0%) | $1.58K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:57 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 3,999.58 shares | 56.7¢ / 67.0¢ | $186 (3.7%) | $4.99K · 9 | $2.5K · 14 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:54 AM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by July 31? YesPolitics 1,750.00 shares | 17.6¢ / 5.1¢ | -$675 (-22.3%) | $3.02K · 24 | $2.26K · 15 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:53 AM | |
![]() Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? YesPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 46.3¢ / 32.0¢ | -$143 (-30.9%) | $453 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:49 AM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? NoPolitics 463.56 shares | 58.4¢ / 46.0¢ | -$334 (-24.3%) | $1.38K · 3 | $828 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:39 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? NoPolitics 2,000.00 shares | 79.0¢ / 72.0¢ | -$140 (-8.9%) | $1.58K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:19 AM | |
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31,… YesPolitics 267.90 shares | 1.4¢ / 0.1¢ | -$3.42 (-92.7%) | $3.69 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:00 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,111.00 shares | 69.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $767 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:41 AM | |
![]() Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? YesPolitics 23.49 shares | 3.6¢ / 1.4¢ | -$0.51 (-60.2%) | $0.85 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:38 AM | |
![]() Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? NoPolitics 4,500.00 shares | 90.0¢ / 95.6¢ | $253 (6.2%) | $4.05K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:37 AM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 7,500.02 shares | 93.2¢ / 99.7¢ | $562 (4.8%) | $11.6K · 44 | $4.73K · 18 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:23 PM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? YesPolitics 598.98 shares | 82.0¢ / 84.6¢ | $15.4 (3.1%) | $491 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:19 PM | |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? YesPolitics 870.23 shares | 11.1¢ / 6.0¢ | -$90.6 (-34.5%) | $263 · 2 | $120 · 2 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:12 PM | |
![]() Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 446.39 shares | 10.4¢ / 12.5¢ | $9.37 (20.2%) | $46.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:02 PM | |
![]() Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? NoPolitics 5,000.00 shares | 82.6¢ / 95.0¢ | $620 (15.0%) | $4.13K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:15 PM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country… YesPolitics 1,999.99 shares | 0.8¢ / 0.4¢ | -$8 (-50.0%) | $16 · 38 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:02 PM | |
![]() Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 YesPolitics 3,447.00 shares | 36.1¢ / 36.0¢ | -$3.33 (-0.3%) | $1.24K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:53 PM | |
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026… YesPolitics 4.00 shares | 21.0¢ / 37.0¢ | $0.64 (76.2%) | $0.84 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:24 PM | |
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? NoPolitics 1,844.40 shares | 28.5¢ / 32.0¢ | $64.8 (12.3%) | $511 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:20 PM | |
![]() Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? YesPolitics 716.98 shares | 29.3¢ / 16.0¢ | -$278 (-17.5%) | $1.59K · 4 | $1.2K · 9 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:08 PM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30,… YesPolitics 413.74 shares | 0.9¢ / 0.5¢ | -$1.65 (-44.4%) | $3.72 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 4:48 PM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 20… YesPolitics 3,227.43 shares | 0.8¢ / 0.3¢ | -$16 (-62.4%) | $25.7 · 50 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 4:47 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? WonYesPolitics | 40.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.2K (126.2%) | $4.12K · 7 | $9.33K · 6 | $0 | Mar 18, 2026 12:47 AM | |
![]() Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? WonNoPolitics | 58.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.07K (41.7%) | $9.76K · 53 | $7.82K · 35 | $0 | Mar 12, 2026 12:52 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? WonNoPolitics | 24.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.57K (184.3%) | $1.94K · 3 | $5.51K · 17 | $0 | May 26, 2026 1:33 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iraq by March 7? WonNoPolitics | 20.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.36K (133.9%) | $2.51K · 15 | $5.87K · 32 | $0 | Mar 12, 2026 12:44 AM | |
52.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.25K (52.0%) | $6.26K · 88 | $9.51K · 106 | $0 | Mar 26, 2026 12:36 AM | ||
1.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.46K (5922.2%) | $0 | $0 | $0 | Mar 24, 2026 3:55 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 38.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.43K (18.2%) | $13.4K · 44 | $15.8K · 36 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM | |
42.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.32K (59.4%) | $3.91K · 22 | $6.23K · 17 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:42 AM | ||
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? WonNoPolitics | 24.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.05K (195.4%) | $1.05K · 2 | $3.1K · 6 | $0 | May 26, 2026 1:33 AM | |
![]() Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30? WonNoPolitics | 21.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.98K (220.7%) | $898 · 16 | $2.88K · 19 | $0 | Dec 6, 2025 12:53 AM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by June 15? WonNoPolitics | 56.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.94K (16.7%) | $11.6K · 24 | $13.5K · 21 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 6:04 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? WonNoPolitics | 36.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.73K (95.9%) | $1.8K · 4 | $3.53K · 8 | $0 | May 26, 2026 1:33 AM | |
![]() Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 67.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.68K (28.8%) | $5.82K · 25 | $7.22K · 8 | $0 | May 30, 2026 12:50 AM | |
22.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.66K (246.1%) | $335 · 2 | $338 · 3 | $0 | Feb 27, 2026 9:55 PM | ||
![]() US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 22.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.62K (47.9%) | $3.39K · 25 | $3.76K · 34 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:46 AM | |
![]() Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? WonYesPolitics | 1.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.53K (1811.4%) | $84.6 · 11 | $1.62K · 38 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 2:25 PM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 43.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.45K (46.6%) | $3.1K · 16 | $4.55K · 13 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 5:05 PM | |
4.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.43K (1991.1%) | $0 | $0 | $0 | Feb 24, 2026 8:39 PM | ||
81.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.39K (22.9%) | $6.07K · 93 | $7.07K · 4 | $0 | Jun 23, 2026 5:00 PM | ||
![]() US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? WonYesPolitics | 56.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.36K (47.2%) | $2.89K · 17 | $4.25K · 15 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 8:41 PM | |
6.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.36K (1407.0%) | $0 | $6.1 · 1 | $0 | Feb 17, 2026 9:15 PM | ||
62.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.35K (53.6%) | $2.51K · 7 | $3.86K · 3 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 1:54 AM | ||
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria? WonYesSports | 12.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.32K (711.9%) | $180 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 2, 2026 9:46 PM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 18.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.3K (11.6%) | $11.2K · 102 | $12.5K · 103 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:32 AM | |
![]() Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 54.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.29K (33.6%) | $3.82K · 4 | $5.14K · 29 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:06 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
1108
Won
622
Lost
424
Combos
109
Win Rate
59.5%
Profit Factor
2.04x
Avg Win
$234
Avg Loss
-$168
Total Wins
$145K
Total Losses
-$71.3K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Rewards
Yield