
Volume
$323K
Txns
3,972
Traders
533
Fees
$16
Ends
Jul 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$15.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 97%$33.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 100%$73.6Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$77.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 55%$8.43Mvolume
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$568Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | No / 0.4¢ | -2.15 | $0.01 | |
| 4h | ormance | Yes / 99.6¢ | -2.15 | $2.14 | |
| 4h | vorit | Yes / 99.6¢ | -2.83 | $2.82 | |
| 4h | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | No / 0.4¢ | -2.83 | $0.01 | |
| 5h | Manzana698 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -892.13 | $890 | |
| 5h | trade-bet | No / 0.2¢ | -892.13 | $1.78 | |
| 5h | titanholo | No / 0.1¢ | +1,740.14 | $1.74 | |
| 5h | Poory | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,740.14 | $1.74K | |
| 5h | Trtr3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5h | titanholo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5h | titanholo | No / 0.1¢ | +19.92 | $0.02 | |
| 5h | fffggg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.92 | $20 | |
| 5h | Poory | Yes / 99.5¢ | +104.52 | $104 | |
| 5h | HerrieDavis | No / 0.5¢ | -100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 5h | titanholo | No / 0.1¢ | +19.92 | $0.02 | |
| 5h | Poory | Yes / 99.4¢ | +212.12 | $211 | |
| 5h | MrMelonHead | Yes / 99.4¢ | -416.64 | $414 | |
| 5h | fffggg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.92 | $20 | |
| 5h | titanholo | No / 0.1¢ | +19.92 | $0.02 | |
| 5h | fffggg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.92 | $20 | |
| 5h | MrMelonHead | Yes / 99.5¢ | -295.48 | $294 | |
| 5h | Poory | Yes / 99.5¢ | +295.48 | $294 | |
| 5h | titanholo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.10 | $0.1 | |
| 5h | solomillo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 5h | Poory | Yes / 99.5¢ | +600.00 | $597 |
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