
Volume
$160K
Txns
3,786
Traders
447
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 16, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 73%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +145.47 | $145 | |
| 4mo | MrMelonHead | Yes / 99.9¢ | -145.47 | $145 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +131.63 | $131 | |
| 4mo | LosserDow | Yes / 99.9¢ | -131.63 | $131 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13.29 | $13.3 | |
| 4mo | Pilagi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -13.29 | $13.3 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.53 | $19.5 | |
| 4mo | Krucik18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.53 | $19.5 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +28.60 | $28.6 | |
| 4mo | 0x854bcc6aB5e6dAf20d8e9801eef8Cb53E3b11a19-1772636912466 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.60 | $28.6 | |
| 4mo | TheBronxTale | Yes / 99.9¢ | -99.42 | $99.3 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +99.42 | $99.3 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +559.01 | $558 | |
| 4mo | 0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff | Yes / 99.9¢ | -559.01 | $558 | |
| 4mo | zabaniya6666 | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +493.21 | $0.49 | |
| 4mo | 0xe979C7bAA2817F9620cAE3Ed7054755bB10C0c8 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +843.21 | $842 | |
| 4mo | epeh | Yes / 99.6¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 4mo | DegenAgent | Yes / 99.6¢ | +13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 4mo | DegenAgent | Yes / 99.6¢ | +65.42 | $65.2 | |
| 4mo | PredictableNiche | Yes / 99.6¢ | -65.42 | $65.2 | |
| 4mo | PredictableNiche | No / 0.1¢ | -0.79 | $0 | |
| 4mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +0.79 | $0 | |
| 4mo | DegenAgent | Yes / 99.6¢ | +3.72 | $3.71 |
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