| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 May 31 Yes 59.71 net shares | 34.0¢ / 35.0¢ | $0.34 (2.9%) | May 13, 2026 2:36 AM | |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 888.89 net shares | 27.0¢ / 26.0¢ | -$4.44 (-3.7%) | May 12, 2026 11:53 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 1,608.19 net shares | 18.7¢ / 19.0¢ | $2.78 (1.9%) | May 12, 2026 6:45 PM | |
 0 (0 bps) Yes 1,049.08 net shares | 60.8¢ / 65.3¢ | $23.6 (7.3%) | May 12, 2026 6:44 PM | |
 December 31 No 810.81 net shares | 37.0¢ / 38.0¢ | $4.05 (2.7%) | May 12, 2026 6:43 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 573.41 net shares | 35.2¢ / 93.0¢ | $326 (163.9%) | May 12, 2026 4:13 PM | |
 June 30 No 6,876.20 net shares | 35.7¢ / 66.0¢ | $1.3K (84.7%) | May 7, 2026 5:12 PM | |
 May 31 No -313.88 net shares | 69.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0 (36.2%) | May 5, 2026 6:51 AM | |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 202.66 net shares | 15.3¢ / 21.0¢ | $5.78 (37.3%) | Apr 29, 2026 7:27 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 1,629.29 net shares | 14.0¢ / 12.0¢ | -$30.5 (-14.2%) | Apr 29, 2026 7:26 PM | |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes 652.31 net shares | 12.0¢ / 7.7¢ | -$23.1 (-35.6%) | Apr 29, 2026 7:26 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 745.22 net shares | 41.2¢ / 73.0¢ | $141 (77.1%) | Apr 17, 2026 5:53 AM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1,088.46 net shares | 65.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $0 (46.2%) | Apr 17, 2026 5:21 AM | |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes 216.44 net shares | 44.1¢ / 35.0¢ | -$10.1 (-20.6%) | Apr 14, 2026 12:40 PM | |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes 517.94 net shares | 22.7¢ / 19.0¢ | -$11.2 (-16.5%) | Apr 14, 2026 7:42 AM | |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Yes 100.20 net shares | 21.0¢ / 26.0¢ | $2.51 (23.8%) | Apr 14, 2026 7:15 AM | |
 Marco Rubio Yes 226.24 net shares | 22.1¢ / 25.3¢ | $7.24 (14.5%) | Apr 13, 2026 7:56 AM | |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes 40.00 net shares | 7.0¢ / 7.9¢ | $0.36 (12.9%) | Apr 12, 2026 8:33 PM | |
 April 30 No 0.00 net shares | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (44.9%) | Apr 9, 2026 10:49 PM | |
 ↑ $130 Yes 352.84 net shares | 30.9¢ / 30.0¢ | -$3.18 (-2.9%) | Apr 8, 2026 4:17 PM | |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran? No 0.01 net shares | 86.0¢ / 94.1¢ | $0 (9.4%) | Apr 8, 2026 4:15 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 55.1¢ / 72.0¢ | $0 (30.6%) | Mar 28, 2026 3:32 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 0.00 net shares | 63.6¢ / 1.0¢ | -$0 (-98.4%) | Mar 1, 2026 8:45 AM | |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 0.01 net shares | 15.0¢ / 6.7¢ | -$0 (-55.3%) | Jan 11, 2026 10:37 PM |
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