
Volume
$18K
Txns
500
Traders
140
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$527
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 55.0¢ | -14.53 | $7.99 | |
| 8d | Helixturbo | No / 45.0¢ | -14.53 | $6.54 | |
| 20d | Porx | No / 88.0¢ | -177.20 | $156 | |
| 20d | Faston | Yes / 10.0¢ | +22.80 | $2.28 | |
| 20d | ReggaeJoe | Yes / 11.8¢ | -200.00 | $23.5 | |
| 24d | Porx | No / 88.0¢ | -1.14 | $1 | |
| 24d | Grocerystore. | No / 88.0¢ | +1.14 | $1 | |
| 25d | SakuraDevil | No / 85.0¢ | +200.00 | $170 | |
| 25d | ELICHOU | No / 85.0¢ | -200.00 | $170 | |
| 29d | AJSV | Yes / 17.0¢ | -5.88 | $1 | |
| 29d | ArthurGreen | Yes / 17.0¢ | +5.88 | $1 | |
| 1mo | lionnow | No / 86.0¢ | -19.05 | $16.4 | |
| 1mo | Porx | No / 88.0¢ | -88.09 | $77.5 | |
| 1mo | LZ- | Yes / 12.4¢ | -107.14 | $13.2 | |
| 1mo | TerranSupremacy | No / 83.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 1mo | Arashi9527 | No / 83.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.15 | |
| 1mo | alfredon996 | No / 85.7¢ | +23.33 | $20 | |
| 1mo | TerranSupremacy | No / 85.0¢ | -6.01 | $5.11 | |
| 1mo | lionnow | No / 86.0¢ | -17.32 | $14.9 | |
| 1mo | sdhush | No / 86.0¢ | +1.16 | $1 | |
| 1mo | TerranSupremacy | No / 86.0¢ | -1.16 | $1 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 25.0¢ | +20.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | Arashi9527 | No / 75.0¢ | +20.00 | $15 | |
| 1mo | 0xE3D683F85df8c20787Aed69Cb28F3C64aA89b56f-1780923932139 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +2.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 50.0¢ | +2.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 95%$0volume