
Volume
$7M
Txns
63,459
Traders
5,941
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 79%$31Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 52%$27.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 77%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.06Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 56%$8.29Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | AlanYagami-T | No / 99.9¢ | -2,536.20 | $2.53K | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,536.20 | $2.53K | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +116.12 | $116 | |
| 2mo | agentslaughter | No / 99.9¢ | -116.12 | $116 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +46.80 | $46.8 | |
| 2mo | galfi | No / 99.9¢ | -46.80 | $46.8 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.48 | $50.4 | |
| 2mo | nibaba194 | No / 99.9¢ | -50.48 | $50.4 | |
| 2mo | espressovictim | No / 99.9¢ | -12.81 | $12.8 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +12.81 | $12.8 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.03 | $50 | |
| 2mo | nnevvesss | No / 99.9¢ | -50.03 | $50 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +46.53 | $46.5 | |
| 2mo | 0x06502b400fe264d75EE75aaa5318B308B4ec6875-1769351890049 | No / 99.9¢ | -46.53 | $46.5 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +800.00 | $799 | |
| 2mo | doubleone2 | No / 99.9¢ | -800.00 | $799 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +321.06 | $321 | |
| 2mo | 0x052a...c4b945 | No / 99.9¢ | -321.06 | $321 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.61 | $10.6 | |
| 2mo | MilliGuru | No / 99.9¢ | -10.61 | $10.6 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.32 | $7.31 | |
| 2mo | baoying | No / 99.9¢ | -7.32 | $7.31 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.18 | $6.17 | |
| 2mo | 0xdd06...3e7e18 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.18 | $6.17 | |
| 2mo | breeze158 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.27 | $3.27 |
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