
Volume
$66K
Txns
2,058
Traders
405
Fees
$558
Liquidity
$14,551
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | EdgeOfChaos | No / 74.0¢ | +41.26 | $30.5 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 74.0¢ | +3.34 | $2.47 | |
| 2h | mdvm | No / 73.2¢ | -44.60 | $32.7 | |
| 5h | DualDelta | Yes / 25.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.29 | |
| 5h | 0xd43f47D08C7e23E86B56CB8984241E49DB7bC66b-1782112487159 | No / 75.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.75 | |
| 9h | PPMT | No / 76.0¢ | -3.95 | $3 | |
| 9h | BdBfjskBdhkwdsnfbs | No / 76.0¢ | +3.95 | $3.03 | |
| 18h | 0x11d299fB675382fe18B04b09A35908937De9f7B6-1772620660551 | Yes / 23.3¢ | -13.51 | $3.14 | |
| 18h | PPMT | No / 76.0¢ | -13.51 | $10.3 | |
| 22h | OwneD94 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +50.00 | $13.4 | |
| 22h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 74.0¢ | +50.00 | $37 | |
| 1d | 0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +40.00 | $10.7 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 74.0¢ | +40.00 | $29.6 | |
| 1d | baybug | No / 74.0¢ | +80.76 | $59.8 | |
| 1d | ahhhhhhhhhhhh | No / 75.0¢ | +27.00 | $20.3 | |
| 1d | LeRoiSoleil | No / 73.3¢ | -1,014.42 | $743 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 74.0¢ | +906.66 | $671 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 76.0¢ | -8.00 | $6.08 | |
| 1d | ahhhhhhhhhhhh | No / 76.0¢ | +8.00 | $6.14 | |
| 2d | 0xE292943c1d291eF696E58BEa53A5caB43b5c2791-1778903730046 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +19.23 | $5.15 | |
| 2d | baybug | No / 74.0¢ | +19.23 | $14.2 | |
| 2d | 0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.58 | |
| 2d | PPMT | No / 75.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.5 | |
| 2d | postmeta | No / 76.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.67 | |
| 2d | PPMT | No / 76.0¢ | -10.00 | $7.6 |
1–25
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 59%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 83%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 57%$0volume
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Yes 96%$0volume