
Volume
$37K
Txns
1,036
Traders
275
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$8,845
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 96%$63.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 97%$35.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 77%$24.7Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$69.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$9.5Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41m | ELIRANTAL | No / 70.8¢ | -52.54 | $37.2 | |
| 41m | TerranSupremacy | No / 77.0¢ | +9.96 | $7.67 | |
| 41m | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 23.0¢ | -20.50 | $4.71 | |
| 41m | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | No / 58.0¢ | +17.04 | $9.88 | |
| 41m | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 23.0¢ | -5.04 | $1.16 | |
| 1h | CollinRitter2742 | No / 78.0¢ | -741.00 | $578 | |
| 1h | JerrySchneider8893 | Yes / 22.0¢ | -723.00 | $159 | |
| 1h | meminjamkan | Yes / 22.0¢ | -18.00 | $3.96 | |
| 1h | ecomcamp | No / 78.0¢ | -688.00 | $537 | |
| 1h | meminjamkan | Yes / 22.0¢ | -688.00 | $151 | |
| 4h | TerranSupremacy | No / 80.0¢ | -7.50 | $6 | |
| 4h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 20.0¢ | +5.04 | $1.01 | |
| 4h | fgjczsnm | Yes / 20.0¢ | -18.00 | $3.6 | |
| 4h | 0x76B0ED7eD4531bB624291171139Ae445481f417D-1773576043225 | No / 80.0¢ | -5.46 | $4.37 | |
| 5h | 0x76B0ED7eD4531bB624291171139Ae445481f417D-1773576043225 | No / 80.0¢ | -4.54 | $3.63 | |
| 5h | ZFund | Yes / 20.0¢ | -4.54 | $0.91 | |
| 15h | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +13.04 | $2.74 | |
| 15h | 0xf4d0...a9c818 | Yes / 22.0¢ | -28.04 | $6.16 | |
| 15h | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 23.0¢ | +7.50 | $1.73 | |
| 15h | TerranSupremacy | No / 77.0¢ | -7.50 | $5.78 | |
| 1d | Zelenearn0 | No / 62.2¢ | -60.00 | $37.3 | |
| 1d | RustyScissors | No / 59.0¢ | +15.25 | $9 | |
| 1d | planktonXD | Yes / 42.0¢ | -19.09 | $8.02 | |
| 1d | 51dgfd | Yes / 32.0¢ | -5.66 | $1.81 | |
| 1d | TerranSupremacy | No / 67.0¢ | +15.00 | $10.1 |
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