
Volume
$3M
Txns
24,033
Traders
1,614
Fees
$581
Liquidity
$26,009
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h | Mr.Atlas1 | No / 93.8¢ | -5.37 | $5.04 | |
| 18h | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +5.37 | $5.05 | |
| 2d | tzquantalpha001 | No / 93.8¢ | -6.75 | $6.33 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +6.75 | $6.34 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +2.50 | $2.35 | |
| 2d | FrozenTomato | No / 93.8¢ | -2.50 | $2.34 | |
| 2d | 0x75c5...16870f | No / 93.3¢ | -0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +0.04 | $0.04 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | 0xdc7d...efb552 | No / 93.3¢ | -0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | 0xFcF3851616E11807978b05EdBcDe6252D88EFB46-1779105789989 | No / 93.3¢ | -0.04 | $0.04 | |
| 2d | emp992 | No / 95.0¢ | +94.74 | $90.2 | |
| 2d | archaic | No / 95.0¢ | -94.74 | $90 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +0.28 | $0.26 | |
| 2d | FrozenTomato | No / 93.8¢ | -0.28 | $0.26 | |
| 2d | archaic | No / 95.0¢ | -10.53 | $10 | |
| 2d | emp992 | No / 95.0¢ | +10.53 | $10 | |
| 2d | purebaby | Yes / 6.0¢ | -56.10 | $3.37 | |
| 2d | htritia | No / 94.0¢ | +28.86 | $27.1 | |
| 2d | purebaby | Yes / 6.0¢ | -21.16 | $1.27 | |
| 2d | alean | Yes / 6.0¢ | +322.33 | $20.1 | |
| 2d | purebaby | Yes / 6.0¢ | -26.96 | $1.62 | |
| 2d | Zaratustra | No / 94.0¢ | +189.25 | $178 | |
| 3d | htritia | No / 94.0¢ | +16.67 | $15.7 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 66%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 51%$0volume