
Volume
$5M
Txns
31,635
Traders
3,446
Fees
$47,107
Liquidity
$169,327
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16m | yoyobb2018 | Yes / 75.0¢ | +75.00 | $56.3 | |
| 16m | ktv.02 | Yes / 76.0¢ | +50.00 | $38 | |
| 16m | UmaSucksBalls | Yes / 74.5¢ | -125.00 | $93.1 | |
| 53m | ktv.02 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +50.00 | $38.5 | |
| 53m | ilovecarrots | No / 23.0¢ | -200.00 | $46 | |
| 53m | ilovecarrots | Yes / 77.0¢ | +200.00 | $154 | |
| 53m | 87879809837209837982 | No / 23.0¢ | -14,320.34 | $3.29K | |
| 53m | ololololololololo | No / 23.0¢ | +14,770.34 | $3.53K | |
| 53m | 0x176e...156925 | No / 20.9¢ | -10.00 | $2.09 | |
| 53m | Jiang2025 | No / 22.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.2 | |
| 1h | 0xee9a74a1F43164D818DA58702290696C0CE3174d-1769748402861 | No / 23.0¢ | +9.00 | $2.15 | |
| 1h | 87879809837209837982 | No / 23.0¢ | -9.00 | $2.07 | |
| 1h | ololololololololo | No / 23.0¢ | +21,869.00 | $5.03K | |
| 1h | 87879809837209837982 | No / 22.1¢ | -21,869.00 | $4.84K | |
| 1h | suntori | No / 24.0¢ | +15.83 | $3.94 | |
| 1h | pup1 | Yes / 76.0¢ | +15.83 | $12 | |
| 1h | pup1 | Yes / 76.0¢ | +29.41 | $22.4 | |
| 1h | some-dipshit | Yes / 75.1¢ | -29.41 | $22.1 | |
| 1h | ilovecarrots | No / 23.0¢ | -200.00 | $46 | |
| 1h | quantpredictions | No / 23.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.6 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +15.00 | $11.6 | |
| 1h | ololololololololo | No / 23.0¢ | +353.00 | $84.3 | |
| 1h | Haradwaith | No / 23.0¢ | -118.00 | $27.1 | |
| 1h | ktv.02 | No / 23.0¢ | +30.00 | $6.9 | |
| 1h | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 77.0¢ | +930.71 | $725 |
1–25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
Yes 55%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 96%$0volume
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$0volume
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes 68%$0volume
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct…
Yes 71%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 me…
No 76%$0volume