Fed rate hike in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$2M
Txns
17,326
Traders
2,053
Fees
$8,320
Liquidity
$180,055
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
Volume
$2M
Txns
17,326
Traders
2,053
Fees
$8,320
Liquidity
$180,055
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5m | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 50.0¢ | +1,200.00 | $615 | |
| 5m | Trading4Fridge | No / 50.0¢ | -1,200.00 | $600 | |
| 5m | Alucard/13 | No / 47.8¢ | -20.95 | $10 | |
| 5m | pako | No / 49.0¢ | +20.95 | $10.3 | |
| 9m | MFS-000 | Yes / 48.8¢ | -78.25 | $38.1 | |
| 9m | Trading4Fridge | No / 50.0¢ | -78.25 | $39.1 | |
| 10m | Trading4Fridge | No / 50.0¢ | -655.75 | $328 | |
| 10m | PhongLeXBT | No / 50.0¢ | +655.75 | $336 | |
| 11m | 0x0135216befBc58B9F592cC92270375d733f3A4D4-1773049857718 | Yes / 48.8¢ | -33.33 | $16.2 | |
| 11m | Trading4Fridge | No / 50.0¢ | -33.33 | $16.7 | |
| 13m | Trading4Fridge | No / 50.0¢ | -831.53 | $416 | |
| 13m | mmmmmmm789 | No / 50.0¢ | -86.28 | $43.1 | |
| 13m | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 50.0¢ | +2,000.00 | $1.02K | |
| 13m | CamaleonBizco | No / 50.0¢ | -178.00 | $89 | |
| 13m | peter1123 | No / 50.0¢ | -398.09 | $199 | |
| 13m | Haradwaith | No / 50.0¢ | -200.10 | $100 | |
| 13m | 15billionplus | Yes / 50.0¢ | +300.00 | $150 | |
| 13m | 0x0891358dcEa78a5A0464bCEE60A8a8fF0CF19A97-1757165760103 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +6.00 | $3 | |
| 21m | peter1123 | No / 50.0¢ | -2.88 | $1.44 | |
| 21m | stefangod | No / 50.0¢ | +2.88 | $1.48 | |
| 22m | MFS-000 | Yes / 48.8¢ | -156.50 | $76.3 | |
| 22m | peter1123 | No / 50.0¢ | -156.50 | $78.3 | |
| 24m | pako | No / 49.0¢ | +40.00 | $19.6 | |
| 24m | WhiteBlockchai | No / 47.8¢ | -40.00 | $19.1 | |
| 35m | pako | No / 49.0¢ | +434.78 | $213 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.14Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$783Kvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.45Mvolume