Oliver1978 +$3.09K PnL

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee… YesEconomics 20.20 shares	50.8¢ / 0.2¢	-$10.2 (-99.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 6:38 PM
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? NoWeather 980.33 shares	85.7¢ / 94.0¢	$81.5 (9.7%)	$840 · 16	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:02 PM
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 185.00 shares	39.0¢ / 39.0¢	-$0.02 (-0.0%)	$71.3 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 10:19 PM
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? NoWeather 210.32 shares	80.6¢ / 92.0¢	$23.9 (14.1%)	$170 · 4	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:54 PM
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid… NoWeather 229.19 shares	87.3¢ / 93.4¢	$14.1 (7.0%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:12 PM
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w… NoWeather 409.94 shares	73.4¢ / 74.0¢	$2.36 (0.8%)	$301 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:12 PM
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? NoWeather 946.75 shares	84.4¢ / 98.3¢	$132 (16.5%)	$799 · 10	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 6:33 PM
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? NoPolitics 100.00 shares	79.6¢ / 94.2¢	$14.6 (18.3%)	$79.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 24, 2026 2:29 PM
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? NoWeather 188.78 shares	81.8¢ / 83.0¢	$0.33 (0.2%)	$210 · 5	$53.6 · 4	$0	Jul 24, 2026 1:05 PM
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 129.71 shares	34.3¢ / 64.8¢	$39.6 (88.9%)	$43.4 · 6	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 1:11 PM
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 597.99 shares	70.6¢ / 78.0¢	$44.1 (10.4%)	$420 · 9	$0	$0	Jul 22, 2026 9:42 AM
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 100.00 shares	50.0¢ / 79.2¢	$29.2 (58.4%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 2, 2026 10:00 PM
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 301.71 shares	75.8¢ / 83.0¢	$21.7 (9.5%)	$228 · 7	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 11:20 PM
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 148.70 shares	55.1¢ / 35.0¢	-$29.9 (-36.5%)	$80.3 · 3	$0	$0	Jun 21, 2026 2:19 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? WonNoCulture	50.1¢ / 75.0¢	$461 (49.7%)	$909 · 15	$1.39K · 8	$0	Jul 29, 2026 10:54 AM
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw… WonNoWeather	67.5¢ / 100.0¢	$332 (48.0%)	$690 · 5	$1.02K · 2	$0	Jun 29, 2026 9:30 AM
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	41.6¢ / 100.0¢	$304 (130.8%)	$229 · 8	$78 · 1	$0	Jun 22, 2026 7:09 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	41.4¢ / 100.0¢	$293 (141.7%)	$206 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 6:15 AM
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? WonNoTech	16.1¢ / 100.0¢	$263 (170.8%)	$144 · 15	$417 · 2	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:11 AM
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	65.5¢ / 100.0¢	$260 (52.7%)	$490 · 4	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:26 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	52.0¢ / 100.0¢	$208 (44.4%)	$458 · 6	$677 · 5	$0	Jun 15, 2026 9:09 AM
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwid… WonNoWeather	61.7¢ / 100.0¢	$193 (62.1%)	$310 · 4	$368 · 69	$0	Jun 29, 2026 6:06 AM
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi… WonYesWeather	40.2¢ / 100.0¢	$192 (101.5%)	$186 · 8	$381 · 7	$0	May 25, 2026 6:50 AM
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? WonNoPolitics	51.2¢ / 100.0¢	$164 (81.5%)	$200 · 1	$365 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 1:02 PM
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide… WonNoCulture	68.5¢ / 100.0¢	$162 (46.0%)	$351 · 4	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:30 AM
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid… WonYesCulture	82.8¢ / 100.0¢	$145 (20.7%)	$701 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 8:55 AM
Ebola case in the US by June 30? WonNoWeather	87.4¢ / 100.0¢	$140 (9.9%)	$1.41K · 24	$252 · 4	$0	Jul 1, 2026 1:15 PM
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	79.4¢ / 100.0¢	$139 (25.9%)	$538 · 5	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:01 AM
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi… WonYesWeather	58.8¢ / 100.0¢	$125 (44.1%)	$277 · 3	$409 · 2	$0	May 11, 2026 6:57 AM
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwid… WonNoWeather	91.8¢ / 100.0¢	$124 (6.0%)	$2.07K · 15	$245 · 2	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:44 AM
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.7¢ / 95.6¢	$120 (6.0%)	$1.98K · 9	$2.1K · 2	$0	Jul 27, 2026 5:59 AM
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi… WonYesWeather	30.1¢ / 100.0¢	$114 (226.2%)	$50.4 · 4	$165 · 1	$0	Jun 9, 2026 6:10 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	40.5¢ / 100.0¢	$98.5 (146.7%)	$65.2 · 3	$0	$0	May 25, 2026 6:49 AM
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide… WonYesCulture	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$90.6 (14.8%)	$614 · 8	$705 · 1	$0	Jun 9, 2026 4:35 AM
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions wor… WonYesWeather	51.4¢ / 59.0¢	$86.9 (10.7%)	$800 · 1	$901 · 9	$0	May 19, 2026 7:38 AM
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$84 (72.4%)	$116 · 4	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 6:05 AM
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwid… WonNoWeather	86.8¢ / 100.0¢	$74.1 (15.3%)	$482 · 6	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 6:15 AM
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	35.1¢ / 100.0¢	$71.4 (184.7%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	May 19, 2026 6:18 AM
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? WonNoPolitics	72.3¢ / 100.0¢	$68.9 (38.2%)	$179 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:05 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? WonNoCulture	50.1¢ / 75.0¢	$461 (49.7%)	$909 · 15	$1.39K · 8	$0	Jul 29, 2026 10:54 AM
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw… WonNoWeather	67.5¢ / 100.0¢	$332 (48.0%)	$690 · 5	$1.02K · 2	$0	Jun 29, 2026 9:30 AM
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	41.6¢ / 100.0¢	$304 (130.8%)	$229 · 8	$78 · 1	$0	Jun 22, 2026 7:09 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	41.4¢ / 100.0¢	$293 (141.7%)	$206 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 6:15 AM
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? WonNoTech	16.1¢ / 100.0¢	$263 (170.8%)	$144 · 15	$417 · 2	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:11 AM
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	65.5¢ / 100.0¢	$260 (52.7%)	$490 · 4	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:26 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesWeather	52.0¢ / 100.0¢	$208 (44.4%)	$458 · 6	$677 · 5	$0	Jun 15, 2026 9:09 AM
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwid… WonNoWeather	61.7¢ / 100.0¢	$193 (62.1%)	$310 · 4	$368 · 69	$0	Jun 29, 2026 6:06 AM
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi… WonYesWeather	40.2¢ / 100.0¢	$192 (101.5%)	$186 · 8	$381 · 7	$0	May 25, 2026 6:50 AM
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? WonNoPolitics	51.2¢ / 100.0¢	$164 (81.5%)	$200 · 1	$365 · 1	$0	Jun 1, 2026 1:02 PM
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide… WonNoCulture	68.5¢ / 100.0¢	$162 (46.0%)	$351 · 4	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:30 AM
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid… WonYesCulture	82.8¢ / 100.0¢	$145 (20.7%)	$701 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 8:55 AM
Ebola case in the US by June 30? WonNoWeather	87.4¢ / 100.0¢	$140 (9.9%)	$1.41K · 24	$252 · 4	$0	Jul 1, 2026 1:15 PM
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	79.4¢ / 100.0¢	$139 (25.9%)	$538 · 5	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 7:01 AM
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi… WonYesWeather	58.8¢ / 100.0¢	$125 (44.1%)	$277 · 3	$409 · 2	$0	May 11, 2026 6:57 AM
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwid… WonNoWeather	91.8¢ / 100.0¢	$124 (6.0%)	$2.07K · 15	$245 · 2	$0	Jun 8, 2026 6:44 AM
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? WonNoPolitics	91.7¢ / 95.6¢	$120 (6.0%)	$1.98K · 9	$2.1K · 2	$0	Jul 27, 2026 5:59 AM
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi… WonYesWeather	30.1¢ / 100.0¢	$114 (226.2%)	$50.4 · 4	$165 · 1	$0	Jun 9, 2026 6:10 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	40.5¢ / 100.0¢	$98.5 (146.7%)	$65.2 · 3	$0	$0	May 25, 2026 6:49 AM
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide… WonYesCulture	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$90.6 (14.8%)	$614 · 8	$705 · 1	$0	Jun 9, 2026 4:35 AM
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions wor… WonYesWeather	51.4¢ / 59.0¢	$86.9 (10.7%)	$800 · 1	$901 · 9	$0	May 19, 2026 7:38 AM
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$84 (72.4%)	$116 · 4	$0	$0	Jun 29, 2026 6:05 AM
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwid… WonNoWeather	86.8¢ / 100.0¢	$74.1 (15.3%)	$482 · 6	$0	$0	Jul 6, 2026 6:15 AM
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide… WonNoWeather	35.1¢ / 100.0¢	$71.4 (184.7%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	May 19, 2026 6:18 AM
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? WonNoPolitics	72.3¢ / 100.0¢	$68.9 (38.2%)	$179 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:05 AM

					Merge
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee… YesEconomics 20.20 shares	50.8¢ / 0.2¢	-$10.2 (-99.6%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 6:38 PM
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? NoWeather 980.33 shares	85.7¢ / 94.0¢	$81.5 (9.7%)	$840 · 16	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:02 PM
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 185.00 shares	39.0¢ / 39.0¢	-$0.02 (-0.0%)	$71.3 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 10:19 PM
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? NoWeather 210.32 shares	80.6¢ / 92.0¢	$23.9 (14.1%)	$170 · 4	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:54 PM
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid… NoWeather 229.19 shares	87.3¢ / 93.4¢	$14.1 (7.0%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:12 PM
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w… NoWeather 409.94 shares	73.4¢ / 74.0¢	$2.36 (0.8%)	$301 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 9:12 PM
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? NoWeather 946.75 shares	84.4¢ / 98.3¢	$132 (16.5%)	$799 · 10	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 6:33 PM
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? NoPolitics 100.00 shares	79.6¢ / 94.2¢	$14.6 (18.3%)	$79.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 24, 2026 2:29 PM
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? NoWeather 188.78 shares	81.8¢ / 83.0¢	$0.33 (0.2%)	$210 · 5	$53.6 · 4	$0	Jul 24, 2026 1:05 PM
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 129.71 shares	34.3¢ / 64.8¢	$39.6 (88.9%)	$43.4 · 6	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 1:11 PM
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 597.99 shares	70.6¢ / 78.0¢	$44.1 (10.4%)	$420 · 9	$0	$0	Jul 22, 2026 9:42 AM
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 100.00 shares	50.0¢ / 79.2¢	$29.2 (58.4%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 2, 2026 10:00 PM
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 301.71 shares	75.8¢ / 83.0¢	$21.7 (9.5%)	$228 · 7	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 11:20 PM
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? NoCulture 148.70 shares	55.1¢ / 35.0¢	-$29.9 (-36.5%)	$80.3 · 3	$0	$0	Jun 21, 2026 2:19 PM

Oliver1978 +$3.09K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$182

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$182

Open$2.28K

High$2.62K

Low$2.25K

Close$2.46K

Open positions24

USD balance$5.99K

2$103

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$103

Open$2.46K

High$2.64K

Low$2.46K

Close$2.56K

Open positions24

USD balance$5.99K

3-$178

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$178

Open$2.56K

High$2.71K

Low$2.38K

Close$2.38K

Open positions25

USD balance$5.81K

4$371

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$371

Open$2.38K

High$2.75K

Low$2.38K

Close$2.75K

Open positions24

USD balance$6.06K

5$147

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$147

Open$2.75K

High$2.9K

Low$2.75K

Close$2.9K

Open positions25

USD balance$6.05K

6-$91.2

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$91.2

Open$2.9K

High$2.99K

Low$2.8K

Close$2.81K

Open positions20

USD balance$684

7-$21.7

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$21.7

Open$2.81K

High$2.83K

Low$2.79K

Close$2.79K

Open positions19

USD balance$660

8$86.7

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$86.7

Open$2.79K

High$2.93K

Low$2.79K

Close$2.87K

Open positions19

USD balance$660

9-$75.6

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$75.6

Open$2.87K

High$2.89K

Low$2.79K

Close$2.8K

Open positions19

USD balance$660

10$21.9

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$21.9

Open$2.8K

High$2.83K

Low$2.8K

Close$2.82K

Open positions18

USD balance$788

11-$850

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$850

Open$2.82K

High$2.82K

Low$1.89K

Close$1.97K

Open positions18

USD balance$0

12-$16.8

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$16.8

Open$1.97K

High$1.97K

Low$1.95K

Close$1.95K

Open positions18

USD balance$0

13$812

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$812

Open$1.95K

High$2.77K

Low$1.95K

Close$2.77K

Open positions18

USD balance$0

14$27.6

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$27.6

Open$2.77K

High$2.79K

Low$2.76K

Close$2.79K

Open positions18

USD balance$0

15-$25.7

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$25.7

Open$2.79K

High$2.79K

Low$2.76K

Close$2.77K

Open positions17

USD balance$1.59K

16$96.1

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$96.1

Open$2.77K

High$2.86K

Low$2.54K

Close$2.86K

Open positions17

USD balance$1.59K

17$22.7

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$22.7

Open$2.86K

High$2.89K

Low$2.73K

Close$2.89K

Open positions17

USD balance$0

18-$50.9

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$50.9

Open$2.89K

High$2.89K

Low$2.83K

Close$2.83K

Open positions17

USD balance$0

19$13.7

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.7

Open$2.83K

High$2.85K

Low$2.83K

Close$2.85K

Open positions17

USD balance$0

20-$0.33

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.33

Open$2.85K

High$2.89K

Low$2.81K

Close$2.85K

Open positions17

USD balance$0

21-$44.9

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$44.9

Open$2.85K

High$2.85K

Low$2.77K

Close$2.8K

Open positions16

USD balance$164

22$15.5

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$15.5

Open$2.8K

High$2.85K

Low$2.77K

Close$2.82K

Open positions16

USD balance$385

23-$27.2

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$27.2

Open$2.82K

High$2.83K

Low$2.78K

Close$2.79K

Open positions16

USD balance$385

24-$12

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12

Open$2.79K

High$2.79K

Low$2.78K

Close$2.78K

Open positions16

USD balance$0

25$15.6

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$15.6

Open$2.78K

High$2.8K

Low$2.78K

Close$2.8K

Open positions16

USD balance$943

26-$5.55

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.55

Open$2.8K

High$2.8K

Low$2.79K

Close$2.79K

Open positions16

USD balance$0

27$34.9

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$34.9

Open$2.79K

High$2.82K

Low$2.79K

Close$2.82K

Open positions15

USD balance$0

28$265

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$265

Open$2.82K

High$3.09K

Low$2.8K

Close$3.09K

Open positions15

USD balance$0

29$0.02

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$3.09K

High$3.09K

Low$3.09K

Close$3.09K

Open positions14

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $67.67D $26930D $815

Markets

152

Won

Lost

Win Rate

68.4%

Profit Factor

3.07x

Avg Win

$52.3

Avg Loss

-$36.8

Total Wins

$4.87K

Total Losses

-$1.58K

Avg. Hold Time

18d 6h 11m 25s

Best Win

$461

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Worst Loss

-$767

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid…

Period

Best Period

$1.54K, Jun 26 – Jul 2

Worst Period

-$1.11K, Jun 21 – Jun 27

Longest Streak

6d W / 3d L

Current Streak

3d W

Max Drawdown

-$1.11K (-55.4%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$3.17K (3875.1%)

Rebates

$17(8)

Rewards

$6.18(3)

Yield

Oliver1978

Analytics

Oliver1978

Analytics

Oliver1978

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Oliver1978

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA