
Volume
$12K
Txns
508
Traders
96
Fees
$20
Ends
Jun 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | buzzedballs | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4.70 | $4.65 | |
| 1mo | 0xdeb2...8fa2d3 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -4.70 | $4.65 | |
| 1mo | shidemi | Yes / 98.0¢ | -19.25 | $18.9 | |
| 1mo | Trading4Fridge | Yes / 98.1¢ | +19.25 | $18.9 | |
| 1mo | Trading4Fridge | Yes / 98.1¢ | +95.50 | $93.7 | |
| 1mo | 0x6a7a...a66c9a | Yes / 98.0¢ | -95.50 | $93.6 | |
| 1mo | velvetdaisies | No / 0.1¢ | -126.28 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | 0x630De348e2F7abBeeb2f4EBE0851E3f25722875A-1780241633211 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -72.81 | $71.4 | |
| 1mo | whaatttt | Yes / 99.9¢ | -126.28 | $126 | |
| 1mo | Trading4Fridge | Yes / 98.1¢ | +72.81 | $71.4 | |
| 1mo | velvetdaisies | No / 0.1¢ | -6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -0.79 | $0.79 | |
| 1mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.90 | $5.89 | |
| 1mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -131.00 | $131 | |
| 1mo | velvetdaisies | No / 0.2¢ | -131.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | Oliver1978 | Yes / 98.1¢ | -167.85 | $165 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | Yes / 98.2¢ | +11.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1mo | 0xa297...322574 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +10.83 | $10.7 | |
| 1mo | Trading4Fridge | Yes / 98.1¢ | +146.02 | $143 | |
| 1mo | Helldiver015 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -45.00 | $44.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xa297...322574 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +45.00 | $44.5 | |
| 1mo | FraterTetractous | No / 0.5¢ | -23.70 | $0.11 | |
| 1mo | 0x6a7a...a66c9a | Yes / 98.0¢ | -10.35 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | No / 1.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x01d8...efb071 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1.01 | $1 |
1–25
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
No 87%$0volume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Yes 97%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Yes 91%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 60%$0volume
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume