Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$31K
Txns
851
Traders
199
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$680
Volume
$31K
Txns
851
Traders
199
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$680
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 49.0¢ | +6.00 | $2.94 | |
| 2h | Friday | No / 49.0¢ | -6.00 | $2.94 | |
| 4h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 51.0¢ | -7.49 | $3.82 | |
| 4h | Corlys | No / 49.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.41 | |
| 4h | Friday | No / 50.0¢ | -90.08 | $45 | |
| 4h | Malganis | Yes / 50.0¢ | -43.10 | $21.6 | |
| 4h | rocky42006 | Yes / 49.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.45 | |
| 4h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 49.0¢ | -7.49 | $3.67 | |
| 4h | cwc909 | Yes / 50.0¢ | -18.00 | $9 | |
| 5h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 41.0¢ | +4.25 | $1.74 | |
| 5h | Tee1000 | No / 59.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.9 | |
| 5h | rocky42006 | Yes / 41.0¢ | +5.75 | $2.36 | |
| 5h | plainfolder | No / 58.5¢ | +6.00 | $3.51 | |
| 5h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 41.0¢ | +5.38 | $2.21 | |
| 5h | Unlaberinto | Yes / 46.0¢ | +0.62 | $0.29 | |
| 10h | Unlaberinto | Yes / 46.0¢ | +4.38 | $2.01 | |
| 10h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 46.0¢ | -4.38 | $2.01 | |
| 1d | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 51.0¢ | -4.66 | $2.38 | |
| 1d | 57dfgfdg | Yes / 49.0¢ | -4.66 | $2.28 | |
| 1d | smallreceipt | Yes / 49.0¢ | -0.34 | $0.17 | |
| 1d | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 51.0¢ | -0.34 | $0.17 | |
| 1d | 0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836 | Yes / 46.5¢ | -18.07 | $8.41 | |
| 1d | rocky42006 | No / 54.0¢ | -3.07 | $1.66 | |
| 1d | TerranSupremacy | No / 53.0¢ | -9.64 | $5.11 | |
| 1d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 46.0¢ | +5.36 | $2.47 |
1–25
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
No 99%$830Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No 91%$195Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No 100%$153Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Yes 90%$132Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.07Mvolume