CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$77K
Txns
979
Traders
234
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,393
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$77K
Txns
979
Traders
234
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,393
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 60%$1.35Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 95%$2.3Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 86%$1.15Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Yes 95%$619Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 73%$1.09Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 87%$854Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 25.0¢ | -3.29 | $0.82 | |
| 6d | 0x4a4d...b4dcdd | No / 74.6¢ | -3.29 | $2.46 | |
| 8d | Colala | No / 75.0¢ | +4.00 | $3 | |
| 8d | 0xe3aAc7a788dCC4c02a5920F23F9F50CD6ca3f226-1773765594423 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +4.00 | $1 | |
| 9d | Oliver1978 | No / 79.0¢ | -15.00 | $11.8 | |
| 9d | 0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834 | No / 79.0¢ | +15.00 | $11.8 | |
| 10d | 13klklas | Yes / 26.0¢ | -7.62 | $1.98 | |
| 10d | 0x3349...f92afe | Yes / 26.0¢ | +7.62 | $2 | |
| 10d | theonlymarcste | No / 74.0¢ | -6.32 | $4.68 | |
| 10d | 13klklas | Yes / 26.0¢ | -6.32 | $1.64 | |
| 10d | theonlymarcste | No / 79.0¢ | +6.33 | $5 | |
| 10d | Oliver1978 | No / 79.0¢ | -6.33 | $5 | |
| 11d | TerranSupremacy | No / 78.0¢ | -7.12 | $5.55 | |
| 11d | G2026 | Yes / 21.3¢ | -53.17 | $11.3 | |
| 11d | 13klklas | Yes / 22.0¢ | +8.06 | $1.77 | |
| 11d | Oliver1978 | No / 79.0¢ | -37.99 | $30 | |
| 15d | SoulCupe | No / 79.0¢ | +25.32 | $20 | |
| 15d | TerranSupremacy | No / 79.0¢ | -7.11 | $5.62 | |
| 15d | Oliver1978 | No / 79.0¢ | -8.59 | $6.78 | |
| 15d | 13klklas | Yes / 21.0¢ | +9.62 | $2.02 | |
| 17d | Colala | No / 79.0¢ | -31.50 | $24.9 | |
| 17d | 13klklas | Yes / 21.0¢ | +18.50 | $3.88 | |
| 17d | accela | Yes / 21.0¢ | -50.00 | $10.5 | |
| 18d | accela | Yes / 26.4¢ | +50.00 | $13.2 | |
| 18d | Colala | No / 74.0¢ | +30.00 | $22.2 |
1–25