
Volume
$151K
Txns
1,638
Traders
385
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$21,285
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$28.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 97%$4.34Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.72Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 50%$8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33m | Chococremeux | No / 93.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.65 | |
| 33m | FortunaFelix | Yes / 7.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.35 | |
| 9h | FortunaFelix | Yes / 7.0¢ | +1.25 | $0.09 | |
| 9h | PPMT | Yes / 7.0¢ | -1.25 | $0.09 | |
| 9h | PPMT | No / 92.0¢ | -47.40 | $43.6 | |
| 9h | rocky42007 | Yes / 8.0¢ | -47.40 | $3.79 | |
| 1d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 8.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 1d | rocky42007 | Yes / 8.0¢ | -18.00 | $1.44 | |
| 1d | Fdanconia | No / 92.0¢ | -55.55 | $51.1 | |
| 1d | simplystupid188 | Yes / 8.0¢ | -17.55 | $1.4 | |
| 2d | EDCvfr41qaz | No / 92.0¢ | -98.91 | $91 | |
| 2d | patientman | No / 92.0¢ | +152.08 | $140 | |
| 2d | FortunaFelix | Yes / 8.0¢ | +5.06 | $0.4 | |
| 2d | Haradwaith | No / 92.0¢ | -48.11 | $44.3 | |
| 2d | EDCvfr41qaz | No / 92.0¢ | -1.09 | $1 | |
| 2d | 0x44E33D4e46813EfdA05ef5B3351Adac55Df6c39e-1776849011100 | No / 92.0¢ | +1.09 | $1 | |
| 3d | codexxxx | No / 92.0¢ | +1.09 | $1 | |
| 3d | Haradwaith | No / 92.0¢ | -1.09 | $1 | |
| 3d | codexxxx | No / 92.0¢ | +2.17 | $2 | |
| 3d | Haradwaith | No / 92.0¢ | -2.17 | $2 | |
| 4d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 9.0¢ | -6.98 | $0.63 | |
| 4d | 0xbed8...e2973c | No / 91.0¢ | -6.98 | $6.35 | |
| 4d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 9.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.8 | |
| 4d | FortunaFelix | Yes / 9.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.8 | |
| 5d | Oliver1978 | No / 90.0¢ | +86.95 | $78.3 |
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