
Volume
$197K
Txns
2,065
Traders
503
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$36,970
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | 0x004Ae6db59f39ecFe8Fc28B3DB8acAbFF59DF9E5-1772290128871 | No / 98.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 10h | srk-12-new | No / 98.0¢ | -5.26 | $5.15 | |
| 10h | Elias.Thornwell | No / 98.0¢ | +10.26 | $10.1 | |
| 14h | beherovka | No / 97.3¢ | -32.82 | $31.9 | |
| 14h | Xendo1 | Yes / 2.7¢ | -32.82 | $0.89 | |
| 1d | beherovka | No / 97.3¢ | -13.00 | $12.6 | |
| 1d | Edje25 | Yes / 2.7¢ | -13.00 | $0.35 | |
| 3d | tumba0956 | No / 97.2¢ | +5.45 | $5.3 | |
| 3d | Chococremeux | No / 97.2¢ | -5.45 | $5.3 | |
| 3d | beherovka | No / 97.3¢ | -11.18 | $10.9 | |
| 3d | lilyanaaino | No / 97.3¢ | -56.00 | $54.5 | |
| 3d | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 2.7¢ | -221.58 | $5.98 | |
| 3d | firebirb | No / 97.3¢ | -45.40 | $44.2 | |
| 3d | veles00536 | No / 97.3¢ | -53.00 | $51.6 | |
| 3d | alenyshka | No / 97.3¢ | -56.00 | $54.5 | |
| 4d | vinuato | No / 97.3¢ | -5.50 | $5.35 | |
| 4d | Chococremeux | No / 97.3¢ | -5.46 | $5.31 | |
| 4d | firebirb | No / 97.3¢ | -9.59 | $9.34 | |
| 4d | EconProf | No / 97.3¢ | +20.55 | $20 | |
| 4d | vinuato | No / 97.3¢ | -16.29 | $15.9 | |
| 4d | ConsensusOfCredibleReporting | Yes / 2.7¢ | -16.29 | $0.44 | |
| 4d | lpanasenko | No / 97.2¢ | -41.15 | $40 | |
| 4d | purebaby | No / 97.2¢ | -5.35 | $5.2 | |
| 4d | Oliver1978 | No / 97.2¢ | -1,672.43 | $1.63K | |
| 4d | 0x8931...f3a90c | No / 97.2¢ | +2,131.93 | $2.07K |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 89%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 71%$0volume