
Volume
$197K
Txns
2,062
Traders
502
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$34,978
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | beherovka | No / 97.3¢ | -32.82 | $31.9 | |
| 3h | Xendo1 | Yes / 2.7¢ | -32.82 | $0.89 | |
| 1d | beherovka | No / 97.3¢ | -13.00 | $12.6 | |
| 1d | Edje25 | Yes / 2.7¢ | -13.00 | $0.35 | |
| 2d | tumba0956 | No / 97.2¢ | +5.45 | $5.3 | |
| 2d | Chococremeux | No / 97.2¢ | -5.45 | $5.3 | |
| 3d | beherovka | No / 97.3¢ | -11.18 | $10.9 | |
| 3d | lilyanaaino | No / 97.3¢ | -56.00 | $54.5 | |
| 3d | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 2.7¢ | -221.58 | $5.98 | |
| 3d | firebirb | No / 97.3¢ | -45.40 | $44.2 | |
| 3d | veles00536 | No / 97.3¢ | -53.00 | $51.6 | |
| 3d | alenyshka | No / 97.3¢ | -56.00 | $54.5 | |
| 3d | vinuato | No / 97.3¢ | -5.50 | $5.35 | |
| 3d | Chococremeux | No / 97.3¢ | -5.46 | $5.31 | |
| 3d | firebirb | No / 97.3¢ | -9.59 | $9.34 | |
| 3d | EconProf | No / 97.3¢ | +20.55 | $20 | |
| 3d | vinuato | No / 97.3¢ | -16.29 | $15.9 | |
| 3d | ConsensusOfCredibleReporting | Yes / 2.7¢ | -16.29 | $0.44 | |
| 3d | lpanasenko | No / 97.2¢ | -41.15 | $40 | |
| 3d | purebaby | No / 97.2¢ | -5.35 | $5.2 | |
| 3d | Oliver1978 | No / 97.2¢ | -1,672.43 | $1.63K | |
| 3d | 0x8931...f3a90c | No / 97.2¢ | +2,131.93 | $2.07K | |
| 3d | planktonXD | Yes / 2.9¢ | +413.00 | $12 | |
| 3d | UniversalCarrier | No / 95.6¢ | -1.12 | $1.07 | |
| 3d | PPMT | No / 95.6¢ | +1.12 | $1.07 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 72%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86%$0volume