
Volume
$14K
Txns
494
Traders
121
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,436
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601). For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point. If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 93%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 61%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | DogFacedPonyMarket | Yes / 6.6¢ | +20.00 | $1.32 | |
| 1d | 54sfds | Yes / 6.6¢ | -20.00 | $1.32 | |
| 1d | 54sfds | Yes / 6.6¢ | -20.00 | $1.32 | |
| 1d | DogFacedPonyMarket | Yes / 6.6¢ | +20.00 | $1.32 | |
| 1d | 54sfds | Yes / 3.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.17 | |
| 1d | DogFacedPonyMarket | Yes / 3.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.17 | |
| 1d | DogFacedPonyMarket | Yes / 3.3¢ | +8.08 | $0.27 | |
| 1d | magicportland | Yes / 3.3¢ | -8.08 | $0.27 | |
| 1d | magicportland | Yes / 3.3¢ | -7.50 | $0.25 | |
| 1d | DogFacedPonyMarket | Yes / 3.3¢ | +7.50 | $0.25 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 6.7¢ | +7.50 | $0.5 | |
| 1d | magicportland | Yes / 6.7¢ | -7.50 | $0.5 | |
| 1d | magicportland | Yes / 7.0¢ | -8.15 | $0.57 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 7.0¢ | +8.15 | $0.57 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 7.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.37 | |
| 1d | Pablo34234 | Yes / 7.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.37 | |
| 1d | Perypery | Yes / 3.7¢ | -58.00 | $2.15 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 3.7¢ | +58.00 | $2.15 | |
| 1d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 1.3¢ | +11.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1d | 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190 | No / 95.5¢ | -20.00 | $19.1 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 95.6¢ | -29.90 | $28.6 | |
| 1d | magicportland | Yes / 1.1¢ | +10.11 | $0.11 | |
| 1d | VonVonagh | Yes / 3.2¢ | +25.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1d | Pablo34234 | Yes / 6.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1d | 54sfds | Yes / 3.1¢ | +119.00 | $3.69 |
1–25