
Volume
$135K
Txns
2,672
Traders
567
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$603
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
Trades
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 92%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 57%$0volume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 55%$0volume
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