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Avg trade size
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 4.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $144 (2400.0%) | $6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 10:03 AM | |
![]() Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 28.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $64.6 (201.8%) | $32 · 4 | $22.4 · 4 | $0 | May 28, 2026 8:54 PM | |
![]() DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? WonNoTech | — / 100.0¢ | $63.4 | $0 | $63.4 · 1 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 7:21 AM | |
![]() Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 75.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $45.1 (26.0%) | $174 · 8 | $107 · 15 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 11:51 PM | |
— / 100.0¢ | $42.6 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 8:08 AM | ||
![]() Will Kanye tweet again by March 31? WonYesCulture | 27.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $26.9 (174.1%) | $15.4 · 3 | $4.44 · 1 | $0 | Mar 26, 2026 6:40 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 27.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $23.8 (270.4%) | $8.79 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 5:38 AM | |
53.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $21.8 (76.5%) | $28.5 · 3 | $15.2 · 2 | $0 | May 1, 2026 8:40 AM | ||
17.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $17.4 (289.3%) | $6 · 2 | $23.4 · 3 | $0 | Feb 25, 2026 1:59 PM | ||
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 47.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $15.4 (22.1%) | $70 · 2 | $34.3 · 14 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:50 AM | |
![]() Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31? WonYesPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $15 | $0 | $15 · 1 | $0 | Mar 6, 2026 5:45 PM | |
69.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $14.6 (22.6%) | $64.5 · 3 | $44.1 · 3 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:26 PM | ||
66.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $14.5 (37.2%) | $39 · 5 | $53.5 · 2 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 10:05 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.7 (39.1%) | $35 · 1 | $46.7 · 1 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 8:08 AM | |
![]() Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 19.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.6 (23.8%) | $57 · 11 | $66.2 · 6 | $0 | May 28, 2026 8:54 PM | |
![]() Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? WonYesPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $13.2 | $0 | $13.2 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 7:54 AM | |
— / 100.0¢ | $11.1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jun 4, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 41.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.8 (30.7%) | $35 · 1 | $45.8 · 2 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 12:43 AM | |
31.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $10.2 (13.2%) | $77.5 · 6 | $87.7 · 13 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:26 PM | ||
![]() Iran leadership change by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 83.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.79 (11.6%) | $84.3 · 3 | $94.1 · 10 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:25 AM | |
![]() Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? WonYesPolitics | 66.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.62 (21.7%) | $44 · 5 | $53.9 · 3 | $0 | May 12, 2026 10:38 PM | |
61.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.02 (36.7%) | $24 · 4 | $13 · 4 | $0 | Jun 9, 2026 7:10 PM | ||
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 75.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.72 (8.8%) | $98.8 · 6 | $98.4 · 5 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 9:33 AM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 67.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $8.34 (35.8%) | $23.3 · 1 | $31.6 · 1 | $0 | Apr 13, 2026 3:34 PM | |
![]() Will another country strike Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 77.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.33 (12.3%) | $67.7 · 3 | $76 · 1 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 3:28 PM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? YesPolitics 8.16 shares | 49.0¢ / 60.0¢ | $0.9 (22.4%) | $4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:06 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YesPolitics 1.85 shares | 16.6¢ / 32.8¢ | -$3.33 (-13.9%) | $24 · 8 | $20.1 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:06 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? YesPolitics 91.43 shares | 22.0¢ / 23.0¢ | -$3.23 (-8.1%) | $40 · 4 | $15.7 · 3 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:06 PM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? NoPolitics 0.48 shares | 32.0¢ / 40.0¢ | -$0.27 (-5.3%) | $5 · 1 | $4.54 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:06 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 1.40 shares | 18.0¢ / 7.0¢ | $3.74 (93.5%) | $4 · 1 | $7.64 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:05 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 1.61 shares | 47.7¢ / 57.0¢ | $6 (16.7%) | $36 · 4 | $41.1 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:04 PM | |
![]() GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? YesTech 0.26 shares | 81.7¢ / 76.3¢ | $8.12 (99.4%) | $8 · 1 | $16.1 · 4 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:02 PM | |
![]() Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? YesTech 239.36 shares | 14.7¢ / 8.0¢ | -$30.3 (-37.1%) | $78.5 · 16 | $32.3 · 5 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:02 PM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? NoPolitics 12.05 shares | 28.2¢ / 20.0¢ | $30 (54.5%) | $55 · 3 | $82.6 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 5:01 PM | |
![]() Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? NoPolitics 0.09 shares | 68.0¢ / 95.8¢ | -$0.84 (-21.1%) | $4 · 1 | $3.07 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:58 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 116.82 shares | 64.1¢ / 83.0¢ | $26.5 (20.7%) | $128 · 8 | $57.5 · 4 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:57 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 0.87 shares | 32.4¢ / 17.0¢ | -$0.53 (-5.7%) | $9.44 · 2 | $8.75 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:57 PM | |
![]() Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? YesTech 2.23 shares | 52.4¢ / 88.3¢ | $0.23 (1.4%) | $16 · 3 | $14.3 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:56 PM | |
![]() Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? NoTech 13.10 shares | 49.7¢ / 11.8¢ | -$5.01 (-62.6%) | $8 · 1 | $1.45 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:56 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? NoPolitics 0.16 shares | 49.0¢ / 59.1¢ | -$1.26 (-31.6%) | $4 · 1 | $2.64 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:49 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? NoTech 9.09 shares | 88.0¢ / 96.3¢ | $0.75 (9.4%) | $8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:42 PM | |
![]() Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? YesTech 21.82 shares | 28.7¢ / 42.0¢ | $2.36 (28.5%) | $8 · 1 | $1.47 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:38 PM | |
44.5¢ / 58.0¢ | -$1.19 (-4.4%) | $27 · 4 | $17.4 · 5 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:38 PM | ||
![]() GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? NoTech 5.60 shares | 15.3¢ / 21.6¢ | $2.54 (15.0%) | $16 · 3 | $18.3 · 16 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:21 PM | |
![]() AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? YesTech 2.00 shares | 25.4¢ / 83.5¢ | -$0.93 (-7.4%) | $12 · 1 | $10.1 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:16 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? YesTech 0.18 shares | 37.0¢ / 6.7¢ | -$0.05 (-2.1%) | $2.58 · 1 | $2.51 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:51 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? NoTech 11.76 shares | 73.5¢ / 93.3¢ | $5.09 (10.7%) | $47.1 · 6 | $41.5 · 4 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:51 PM | |
![]() Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? YesTech 9.11 shares | 81.8¢ / 90.0¢ | -$0.51 (-4.0%) | $12.8 · 2 | $4.25 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:46 PM | |
![]() Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 1.42 shares | 5.9¢ / 7.5¢ | -$0.64 (-12.8%) | $5 · 1 | $4.26 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:41 PM | |
![]() Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? NoPolitics 32.26 shares | 62.9¢ / 85.5¢ | $7.28 (35.9%) | $20 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:35 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
235
Won
107
Lost
50
Win Rate
68.2%
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$4.99
Avg Loss
-$9.44
Total Wins
$534
Total Losses
-$472
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield