
Volume
$28K
Txns
947
Traders
197
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$14,699
Ends
Aug 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8m | SyntheticDemon | Yes / 87.0¢ | +15.00 | $13.1 | |
| 8m | 0x97Cb3a7cef8eb9f7E5C1b549BE4BDCb77e4Bc910-1776943230792 | No / 13.0¢ | +15.00 | $1.95 | |
| 19m | 0x97Cb3a7cef8eb9f7E5C1b549BE4BDCb77e4Bc910-1776943230792 | No / 13.0¢ | +2,908.00 | $378 | |
| 19m | ArienNasr | Yes / 87.0¢ | +2,908.00 | $2.53K | |
| 22m | adspokposs | No / 13.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.13 | |
| 22m | 0x97Cb3a7cef8eb9f7E5C1b549BE4BDCb77e4Bc910-1776943230792 | No / 13.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.13 | |
| 22m | ArienNasr | Yes / 86.0¢ | +85.00 | $73.1 | |
| 22m | 0x7ace...1ef3da | No / 17.0¢ | +7.00 | $1.19 | |
| 22m | planktonXD | No / 14.0¢ | +85.00 | $11.9 | |
| 22m | adspokposs | No / 17.0¢ | -7.00 | $1.19 | |
| 40m | 0x4297DA4eD94FA35cd406E3FD9fcc9fe570af1D90-1763278772857 | Yes / 81.0¢ | +1.23 | $1 | |
| 40m | 0x3d05...14acde | No / 19.0¢ | +1.23 | $0.23 | |
| 46m | 0xB4119278cE385787c189b9A597F25d88fb978a7C-1779337328329 | No / 21.9¢ | -20.00 | $4.38 | |
| 46m | Colala | No / 21.0¢ | +1.82 | $0.38 | |
| 46m | adspokposs | No / 22.0¢ | +18.18 | $4 | |
| 50m | puposalbani | Yes / 75.0¢ | -4.99 | $3.74 | |
| 50m | ArienNasr | Yes / 75.0¢ | +4.99 | $3.74 | |
| 56m | ArienNasr | Yes / 75.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.75 | |
| 56m | dex55 | No / 25.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 57m | nobtc | No / 28.0¢ | +3.57 | $1 | |
| 57m | PolyEGG | No / 28.0¢ | -3.57 | $1 | |
| 57m | PolyEGG | No / 28.0¢ | -3.57 | $1 | |
| 57m | PolyEGG | No / 28.0¢ | -3.57 | $1 | |
| 57m | nobtc | No / 28.0¢ | +3.57 | $1 | |
| 57m | PolyEGG | No / 28.0¢ | -3.57 | $1 |
1–25
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 60%$40.2Kvolume
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 91%$25.4Kvolume
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 87%$38.2Kvolume
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 67%$41.5Kvolume
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 91%$30.4Kvolume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 97%$29.4Kvolume