
Volume
$1M
Txns
13,877
Traders
1,918
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit. A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 92%$4.28Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,701.35 | $1.7 | |
| 1mo | Izikbuk2042 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,701.35 | $1.7K | |
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -459.34 | $0.46 | |
| 1mo | RGBluey | No / 99.9¢ | -459.34 | $459 | |
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -31.25 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | zyw05 | No / 99.9¢ | -31.25 | $31.2 | |
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -152.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | RGBluey | No / 99.9¢ | -152.00 | $152 | |
| 1mo | zzy379777786 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.06 | $0 | |
| 1mo | westgardeng | No / 99.9¢ | -10.07 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.07 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,555.00 | $5.55 | |
| 1mo | Altcom | No / 99.9¢ | -581.59 | $581 | |
| 1mo | CiaoBilly | No / 99.7¢ | -3,133.41 | $3.12K | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +9,280.00 | $9.26K | |
| 1mo | 0xF61aaD1e7942A54b481e88AC9813CCc792042da0-1775604415790 | No / 99.4¢ | -19.73 | $19.6 | |
| 1mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.3¢ | +9.73 | $9.66 | |
| 1mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.4¢ | +10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 1mo | norn01 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1.82 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | CiaoBilly | No / 99.7¢ | -1.82 | $1.81 | |
| 1mo | meowmeowcat | No / 99.7¢ | +7.29 | $7.27 | |
| 1mo | Izikbuk2042 | No / 99.7¢ | +1,009.66 | $1.01K | |
| 1mo | CiaoBilly | No / 99.7¢ | -979.66 | $977 |
1–25