notmereally +$1.03K PnL

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Explorer

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? NoFinance 12.50 shares	80.0¢ / 93.0¢	$1.63 (16.3%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 5:51 PM
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? NoTech 12.50 shares	20.0¢ / 37.0¢	$2.13 (85.0%)	$2.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 5:41 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? WonNoTech	69.7¢ / 100.0¢	$425 (18.1%)	$2.34K · 6	$2.71K · 2	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? WonNoTech	41.1¢ / 100.0¢	$393 (91.9%)	$427 · 4	$820 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:46 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition WonYesCulture	62.6¢ / 100.0¢	$179 (59.6%)	$300 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? WonNoTech	86.2¢ / 100.0¢	$109 (11.5%)	$943 · 4	$1.05K · 2	$0	Jul 5, 2025 12:28 AM
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? WonNoPolitics	21.6¢ / 0.0¢	$98.5 (233.2%)	$42.2 · 3	$141 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 12:27 AM
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? WonNoTech	56.1¢ / 100.0¢	$78.1 (78.1%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 5, 2025 4:54 PM
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? WonNoTech	20.7¢ / 0.0¢	$66.1 (20.7%)	$320 · 2	$386 · 1	$0	Nov 20, 2025 5:21 AM
$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$ AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? WonNoTech	54.4¢ / 100.0¢	$61.2 (35.7%)	$171 · 6	$233 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:33 AM
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? WonNoTech	10.0¢ / 100.0¢	$50 (250.0%)	$20 · 2	$70 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:16 AM
OpenAI browser in 2025? WonNoTech	17.4¢ / 0.0¢	$38.9 (129.5%)	$30 · 2	$68.8 · 3	$0	Oct 21, 2025 7:36 PM
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? WonNoTech	80.4¢ / 100.0¢	$28.1 (24.4%)	$115 · 3	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August? WonNoTech	67.5¢ / 100.0¢	$27.7 (48.2%)	$57.5 · 2	$0	$0	Aug 5, 2025 4:54 PM
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31? WonNoTech	22.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.3 (354.5%)	$6 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2025 6:30 PM
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? WonNoTech	86.8¢ / 100.0¢	$15.2 (15.2%)	$100 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2025 3:41 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonYesPolitics	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (138.1%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2026 2:12 AM
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? WonNoTech	27.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (253.0%)	$5 · 1	$17.6 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 8:19 AM
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (6.3%)	$185 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 21, 2025 11:38 PM
DeepSeek R2 released before May? WonNoTech	36.5¢ / 100.0¢	$10.5 (174.2%)	$6 · 2	$0	$0	May 12, 2025 11:25 PM
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? WonNoTech	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.15 (22.9%)	$40 · 1	$49.1 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:41 AM
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August? WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.7 (8.7%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 5, 2025 4:54 PM
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025? WonNoTech	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.71 (257.1%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year? WonNoTech	59.3¢ / 100.0¢	$7 (46.6%)	$15 · 2	$22 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:16 AM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	62.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.05 (59.4%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:47 AM
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? WonNoTech	76.7¢ / 100.0¢	$5.07 (25.3%)	$20 · 1	$25.1 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2025 7:21 PM
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025? WonNoPolitics	6.5¢ / 0.0¢	$4.82 (241.1%)	$2 · 2	$6.82 · 2	$0	Aug 14, 2025 9:34 AM

					Merge
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? NoFinance 12.50 shares	80.0¢ / 93.0¢	$1.63 (16.3%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 5:51 PM
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? NoTech 12.50 shares	20.0¢ / 37.0¢	$2.13 (85.0%)	$2.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 5:41 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? WonNoTech	69.7¢ / 100.0¢	$425 (18.1%)	$2.34K · 6	$2.71K · 2	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? WonNoTech	41.1¢ / 100.0¢	$393 (91.9%)	$427 · 4	$820 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:46 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition WonYesCulture	62.6¢ / 100.0¢	$179 (59.6%)	$300 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? WonNoTech	86.2¢ / 100.0¢	$109 (11.5%)	$943 · 4	$1.05K · 2	$0	Jul 5, 2025 12:28 AM
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? WonNoPolitics	21.6¢ / 0.0¢	$98.5 (233.2%)	$42.2 · 3	$141 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 12:27 AM
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? WonNoTech	56.1¢ / 100.0¢	$78.1 (78.1%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 5, 2025 4:54 PM
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? WonNoTech	20.7¢ / 0.0¢	$66.1 (20.7%)	$320 · 2	$386 · 1	$0	Nov 20, 2025 5:21 AM
$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$ AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? WonNoTech	54.4¢ / 100.0¢	$61.2 (35.7%)	$171 · 6	$233 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:33 AM
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? WonNoTech	10.0¢ / 100.0¢	$50 (250.0%)	$20 · 2	$70 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:16 AM
OpenAI browser in 2025? WonNoTech	17.4¢ / 0.0¢	$38.9 (129.5%)	$30 · 2	$68.8 · 3	$0	Oct 21, 2025 7:36 PM
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? WonNoTech	80.4¢ / 100.0¢	$28.1 (24.4%)	$115 · 3	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August? WonNoTech	67.5¢ / 100.0¢	$27.7 (48.2%)	$57.5 · 2	$0	$0	Aug 5, 2025 4:54 PM
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31? WonNoTech	22.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.3 (354.5%)	$6 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 1, 2025 6:30 PM
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? WonNoTech	86.8¢ / 100.0¢	$15.2 (15.2%)	$100 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2025 3:41 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonYesPolitics	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (138.1%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2026 2:12 AM
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? WonNoTech	27.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.6 (253.0%)	$5 · 1	$17.6 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 8:19 AM
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (6.3%)	$185 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 21, 2025 11:38 PM
DeepSeek R2 released before May? WonNoTech	36.5¢ / 100.0¢	$10.5 (174.2%)	$6 · 2	$0	$0	May 12, 2025 11:25 PM
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? WonNoTech	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.15 (22.9%)	$40 · 1	$49.1 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:41 AM
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August? WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.7 (8.7%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 5, 2025 4:54 PM
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025? WonNoTech	28.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.71 (257.1%)	$3 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 18, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year? WonNoTech	59.3¢ / 100.0¢	$7 (46.6%)	$15 · 2	$22 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:16 AM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	62.7¢ / 100.0¢	$6.05 (59.4%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:47 AM
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? WonNoTech	76.7¢ / 100.0¢	$5.07 (25.3%)	$20 · 1	$25.1 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2025 7:21 PM
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025? WonNoPolitics	6.5¢ / 0.0¢	$4.82 (241.1%)	$2 · 2	$6.82 · 2	$0	Aug 14, 2025 9:34 AM

notmereally +$1.03K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.21

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.21

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$1

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.01K

Close$1.01K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.16

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open$1.01K

High$1.01K

Low$1.01K

Close$1.01K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$0.22

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open$1.01K

High$1.01K

Low$1.01K

Close$1.01K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$1.03

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.03

Open$1.01K

High$1.02K

Low$1.01K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$0.59

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.59

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8$1.8

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.8

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.55

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.55

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.05

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.38

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.38

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$0.38

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.38

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$0.05

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$0.25

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.25

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$25.6

17$0.13

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.13

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$25.6

18-$0.05

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$5.92

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.92

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions3

USD balance$15.4

20$0.02

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$31.7

21$0.17

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$31.7

22-$0.17

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.38

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.38

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$0.62

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.62

Open$1.02K

High$1.02K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.02K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$1.85

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.85

Open$1.02K

High$1.03K

Low$1.02K

Close$1.03K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.07

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open$1.03K

High$1.03K

Low$1.03K

Close$1.03K

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.037D $1.4230D $10.3

Markets

119

Won

Lost

Win Rate

65.8%

Profit Factor

2.41x

Avg Win

$22.7

Avg Loss

-$18.1

Total Wins

$1.75K

Total Losses

-$726

Avg. Hold Time

266d 9h 20m 38s

Best Win

$50

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Worst Loss

-$25

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Period

Best Period

$1.19K, Nov 13 – Nov 19

Worst Period

-$1.53K, Aug 1 – Aug 7

Longest Streak

10d W / 8d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$3.02K (-205.3%)

Current DD

-$447 (-30.4%)

Max Runup

$2.64K (170.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.04(39)

notmereally

Analytics

Analytics

notmereally

notmereally

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

notmereally

Trader DNA

Trader DNA