
Volume
$654K
Txns
16,962
Traders
2,395
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$82.4Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +16.46 | $16.4 | |
| 11mo | Lampro | No / 99.9¢ | -16.46 | $16.4 | |
| 11mo | TAMALIE | No / 99.8¢ | -5.23 | $5.22 | |
| 11mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.23 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.05 | $0 | |
| 11mo | luigi-dolores | No / 99.9¢ | +1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.09 | $0 | |
| 11mo | goblingreen | No / 99.9¢ | +1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 11mo | anissa-quaerat | No / 99.9¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.01 | $0 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.17 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Dando | No / 99.9¢ | +13.17 | $13.2 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.11 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +14.11 | $14.1 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | carmel-maxime | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 11mo | AmartheF | No / 99.9¢ | +25.78 | $25.7 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.78 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -44.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.03 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | lightkeepeR | No / 99.9¢ | +25.03 | $25 | |
| 11mo | infernalgladiator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.09 | $0 |
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