
Volume
$211K
Txns
6,358
Traders
1,278
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025 - GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam - AI wins IMO gold medal - AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark - AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +75.77 | $75.7 | |
| 6mo | dumbbell | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 6mo | Jammycohen | Yes / 99.9¢ | -80.77 | $80.7 | |
| 6mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +189.98 | $190 | |
| 6mo | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 0.1¢ | +105.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | LieutenantMiloMinderbinder | No / 0.1¢ | +84.98 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | LieutenantMiloMinderbinder | No / 0.1¢ | +15.02 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.02 | $15 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | No / 0.2¢ | +1.70 | $0 | |
| 6mo | 0xc90e...5439e3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.70 | $1.7 | |
| 6mo | LieutenantMiloMinderbinder | Yes / 99.4¢ | +100.00 | $99.4 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | No / 0.5¢ | -119.13 | $0.6 | |
| 6mo | flexer78 | No / 0.7¢ | -120.06 | $0.84 | |
| 6mo | aviato | Yes / 99.4¢ | +2,297.15 | $2.28K | |
| 6mo | borchi | Yes / 99.1¢ | +1,544.27 | $1.53K | |
| 6mo | Certify0148 | Yes / 99.3¢ | -4,180.61 | $4.15K | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | nevet241 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 6mo | nevet241 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | nevet241 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | No / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Umaroth | Yes / 99.8¢ | -103.55 | $103 | |
| 6mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.8¢ | +222.58 | $222 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 85%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume